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2026 NCAA tournament predictions: Quick selections for the men’s March Madness bracket

2026 NCAA tournament predictions: Quick selections for the men's March Madness bracket

Exciting Times for Men’s College Basketball

This season has really been something special for men’s college basketball. I mean, it seems like we might be gearing up for an incredible NCAA Tournament. Four powerhouse teams are standing out: Duke, Florida, Michigan, and Arizona. The big question is—can anyone take them down in the Final Four, or are these top-seeded teams cruising toward their second straight regional championship?

There are definitely some respectable challengers throughout the bracket, and, honestly, anything can happen in a single-elimination setup. Take Iowa State—this is their first shot at the Final Four, but Coach TJ Otzelberger has perhaps one of his very best teams. Senior forward Joshua Jefferson is leading the way. Then we have Houston; they almost clinched last year’s national championship, and Coach Kelvin Sampson now has several one-and-done players in the mix, plus a towering lineup. Arkansas is no slouch either, especially with freshman standout Darius Acuff, and let’s not forget Wisconsin, which might just have the best backcourt in the game.

March Madness is going to be a thrilling ride. Now that the brackets are out, let’s dive into some immediate predictions.

Duke faces a tough second game against No. 8 seed Ohio State, but I think they’re too strong to bow out early. St. John’s, a solid 5 seed after winning the Big East, took down Northern Iowa and then Kansas before falling to Duke in the Sweet 16.

In another matchup, South Florida topped Louisville in their opener, and Michigan State is set to play North Dakota State. Coach Tom Izzo is looking to make another Sweet 16 appearance. UConn maintained momentum by beating UCLA to advance, and I feel they might edge past Michigan State, but they stumbled against Duke.

Injuries are a concern at the bottom of the bracket—will freshman star Mikel Brown Jr. be fit to play for Louisville? And what about Donovan Dent from UCLA, who was hurt in the Big Ten tournament? It feels like reaching the Elite Eight is going to be a challenge for Duke, especially with strong guards like Bruce Thornton of Ohio State. Plus, without Caleb Foster in the lineup, Caden Boozer will need to step up. Honestly, as a Duke fan, I can’t say I’m entirely confident about this matchup, but given their dominant season and recent victories, they’re still my Final Four favorite.

Arizona State took the lead in its bracket, expected to roll past Utah State to reach the Sweet 16. Yet, the road gets tougher from there. I think Wisconsin will sneak past High Point and Arkansas will handle Hawaii to create an interesting Sweet 16 matchup.

BYU, the No. 6 seed, should overcome Texas in the second round. Led by AJ DiVanza, the Cougars look strong enough to reach the Sweet 16 after facing Gonzaga. Missouri State pulled off an upset over Miami in the first round, while Purdue took down Mizzou to push into the Elite Eight.

Purdue’s clash against Arizona in the Elite Eight is setting up to be a classic. I might even pick the Boilermakers to take that one. They’ve been the top team in preseason rankings and possess the size to compete, thanks to 7’3″ Daniel Jacobsen and 6’11” Oscar Clough.

This region features some electrifying talent, including DiVanza and Darius Acuff, plus Braden Smith, a phenomenal college point guard. Arizona has at least two freshmen projected for the first round, Koa Peat and Brayden Burries, and I think Motillas Krivas is a standout for them.

Though Michigan stumbled in the Big Ten Tournament finals, they’re still an elite squad, even missing backup point guard LJ Cason. After defeating St. Louis, they smoothly moved into the Sweet 16. Texas Tech, on the other hand, will play without JT Toppin, and I suspect they might fall to Akron in the first round. Alabama, however, worked through Hofstra and Akron to reach the Sweet 16 but faces a tough test against Michigan to reach the Elite Eight.

As for the first four games, I’m leaning towards SMU beating Miami (Ohio) and then overcoming Tennessee. I could see Santa Clara pulling off an upset against Kentucky in what should be a close 7-10 matchup. Iowa State managed to take down Santa Clara in the Round of 32, followed by Virginia in the Sweet 16 before facing Michigan in the Elite 8.

It’s unfortunate that Iowa State’s still stuck in rural Michigan. I really like the Cyclones, but Duke and Michigan can’t afford any early exits. Plenty of talent exists in this bracket—Christian Anderson from Texas Tech, Alabama’s LaBron Philon, and Iowa State’s Joshua Jefferson are all standout players that could impact the tournament.

Florida cruised past Iowa to advance to the Sweet 16 effortlessly. They’re in a solid position to chase back-to-back national championships, particularly with that formidable frontcourt. I see them winning against Vanderbilt in the Sweet 16; yes, Vandy got the better of them in the SEC Tournament, but NCAA dynamics can change everything.

Unfortunately, North Carolina was upset by VCU in the first round, compounded by Caleb Wilson’s broken thumb preventing him from contributing. Illinois, meanwhile, received a favorable draw and should advance past TJ Power and Penn, setting up a challenging Sweet 16 matchup against Houston. The Cougars look impressive, backed by Coach Kelvin Sampson’s talent pool against Brad Underwood’s squad.

I’m leaning toward Houston over Florida in the Elite Eight. It’s definitely a bold choice, but I think they have a significant edge in the backcourt, with JoJo Tagler and Chris Cenac Jr. playing key roles.

The Final Four looks like it’ll feature Duke against Houston and Michigan facing Purdue. Duke is likely to take down Houston, getting some revenge from last year’s matchup. As for Michigan and Purdue, this rematch of the Big Ten Tournament title might see Michigan come out on top this time.

Ultimately, Duke and Michigan stood as the top two teams all year. It seems Cameron Boozer is destined not to lose at Duke. He’s won championships nearly everywhere he’s competed, so it raises the question—will March Madness be different this time? Personally, I believe Duke has a tough journey ahead for the overall No. 1 seed, but I’m still banking on them to clinch it all.

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