On the other hand, the Republican majority The field is becoming increasingly narrow, and there are currently five blue seats that could help Republicans hold onto the House.
The Democratic House seats of Mary Peltola of Alaska, Yadira Carabeo of Colorado, Elissa Slotkin of Michigan, Marie Grusenkamp Perez of Washington and Jared Golden of Maine were all secured. . ranked As a toss-up by Cook Political Report.
In addition to these gains, polling also suggests these seats are within Republican control heading into November.
In 2022, Mr. Peltola will become Alaska's only congressional seat, more than half a century after the state adopted a ranked-choice voting system that allows voters to rank their favorite candidates, rather than the typical two-party system. He will be the first Democratic candidate to be elected. primary system. As a result, Republican candidate Nick Begich and former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin Split The Republican vote allows Peltola to turn the seat blue for the first time. Since then 1970.
Despite the ranked selection system, Mr. Peltola faces a challenge from just one Republican candidate, Nick Begich, after Nancy Dahlstrom dropped out to solidify the Republican vote. Combined with Alaska surely Red voting history, recent public opinion poll Opposition from the National Republican Congressional Committee put Peltola at an electoral disadvantage.
Peltora too Featured He is on the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's list of “frontline members”, which is made up of the most competitive blue seats.
Mr. Carabeo, who like Mr. Peltola is on the front lines, is also at risk of being re-elected by a Republican challenger. One September poll had the Colorado Democrat with a narrow 3-point lead, but recent polls from early October have her trailing. dead heat with Republican challenger Gabe Evans. Colorado's 8th Congressional District is also split evenly between Republicans and Democrats, according to the Cook Political Report.
Caraveo won In 2022, her seat was separated by less than 1 percentage point from Republican candidate Barbara Kirkmeyer.
Since Slotkin chose to run for the Senate, Democratic candidate Curtis Hertel and Republican candidate Tom Barrett have faced off for the seat. slotkin turned over Long-time red seats will turn blue in 2022, and +2 Republican districts could be in for a layup. Vote too trend Among Republicans, Barrett led Hertel by 4 to 6 points.
slotkin safe Her seat in Michigan's 7th Congressional District in 2022 increased by 5.4%.
Perez is also on the DCCC's list of vulnerable frontrunners and will face off against Republican candidate Joe Kent for the second time. It's Perez managed She is currently planning to change seats in 2022. vote He also failed to win against Kent in the Republican +5 district, and redlining could be reinstated in Washington's 3rd Congressional District.
Mr. Perez is refrained From supporting Vice President Kamala Harris over former President Donald Trump, lost After the retirement of former Republican Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler, Kent State ranks below 1% in 2022.
Golden, who has represented the Maine House district for three consecutive terms, also faces a close race against Republican candidate Austin Theriault. Despite being a +6 Republican district, Golden won the seat by a 1% margin. 2018 and just over 6% 2020 and 2022.
Despite historically having an electoral advantage, recent polls show Golden being favored by 3 points. deficit against Theriault.
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