UPS Stock Performance Overview

United Parcel Service’s stock has seen a drastic reduction—down 50% since its peak in early 2022, yet there’s been a recovery of 30% from its low in October 2025. It seems that the market is starting to sense that the company’s turnaround strategy is really starting to take hold. If you’re contemplating an investment, you might want to make a move sooner rather than later to avoid missing out.

UPS’s Expectations for the Second Quarter

Buying UPS shares before July 15 could be wise, as this is just ahead of the company’s second-quarter earnings announcement. The anticipated revenue figures aren’t expected to impress anyone. However, that might not be the main concern. UPS has already indicated to investors that the first half of 2026 could be a bit shaky, while the latter half might show stronger performance.

I guess this means the end of the second quarter should act as a pivotal moment. It appears there are signs of steady improvement in business performance, especially with revenue per unit in the U.S. showing positive trends.

A Not-so-great Year but a Necessary Turnaround

Honestly, 2026 looks to be quite flat compared to 2025, with little change in sales and operating profit margins. Still, sales per unit are predicted to rise, potentially reaching mid-single digits. UPS thinks that there will indeed be a shift from the first half to the second half of the year.

For the first half of 2026, margins might continue to face challenges, and revenue is expected to dip. But, as the year progresses, things could start looking up. There was no major shift in outlook during the Q1 2026 earnings call back in late April. The CEO reiterated that the turnaround plans remain on schedule. It’s reasonable to think we might see some positive developments when they share their second-quarter results.

Opportunities for Aggressive Investors

For those more daring with their investments, now might be a good time to consider buying UPS. For risk-averse investors, it may not be the best choice because of the ongoing turnaround. But if management’s predictions hold true, improvements in business could materialize in the latter part of this year. The stock is already trending upwards, and getting in before the second-quarter results could yield profits before wider acknowledgment from the market.