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Hugh Hewitt: Electors should seek leaders who can handle stress

Hugh Hewitt: Electors should seek leaders who can handle stress

Who can bear “pressure”? The new film “Pressure” portrays the crucial days before the Allied forces landed in Normandy on June 6, 1944. It’s important to note that the success of D-Day wasn’t guaranteed—not in terms of when it would happen, nor whether it could succeed.

General Dwight “Ike” Eisenhower faced enormous stress while making the “go-no-go” call in early June, 82 years ago. The stakes were incredibly high—tens of thousands of soldiers’ lives hung in the balance, along with the future of millions under Hitler’s oppressive regime. The film provides a compelling lesson about decision-making during such critical times, showcasing Ike’s (Brendan Fraser) ability to stay resolute amid uncertain weather and the workings of the enemy, reflecting the resilience instilled in him from a young age.

One might wish for a leader like Ike in every presidential election; someone capable of making sound decisions on vital issues. Unfortunately, that’s often not reflected in voter behavior. Many voters don’t really consider the significant choices or who should be making them. Instead, they’re often influenced by their own situations and the cultural tensions that deeply divide our nation.

When an incumbent runs for re-election, it’s typically a vote of confidence regarding their time in office. However, when there’s no sitting president, voters often rely on different criteria.

If “change” is the dominant theme in politics without an incumbent, one theory suggests that Americans might gravitate toward candidates who dramatically differ in personality from the previous officeholder. This perspective is often linked to former President Barack Obama’s advisor David Axelrod, seen as the Democratic counterpart to Karl Rove in understanding American political dynamics.

A second significant theory is the “capital versus regional” divide. Renowned political analyst Michael Barone noted that a decade ago, scholars pointed out this new divide emerging from surprising election results, defying old partisan boundaries, such as the distinctions between workers and business owners, or the North and South. It represents a growing gulf between coastal elites and those in more grounded, rural regions.

Combining these theories outlines four categories. Candidates from both parties may align closely or diverge significantly from the incumbent, while also embodying varying attitudes toward establishment sentiments.

Two notable outsiders were President Obama and President Trump, both of whom represented shifts from traditional incumbents. Joe Biden, conversely, is perceived as part of the elite, holding views that contrast starkly with Trump’s. Trump’s electoral success symbolized a clash between the countryside and urban centers.

Now, as the 2028 election cycle unofficially kicks off, attention is turning toward prominent potential candidates. Rahm Emanuel, former ambassador to Japan and various governmental roles, features in recent profiles, positioning him as a quintessential insider within the Democratic Party.

Emanuel embodies a deep understanding of political intricacies, though he also faces the challenge of navigating a party dealing with rising anti-Semitism, especially given his background and heritage. It’s uncertain how the party may respond to his candidacy in that context.

Potential challengers against him could include California Governor Gavin Newsom, Illinois Governor JB Pritzker, and Representatives Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Ro Khanna. All of them might seek to position themselves against both Emanuel and Trump.

Expect Emanuel to voice more traditional Democratic criticisms of Trump, framing him as “the most corrupt White House in history.” Yet, the issues of education and the declining middle class will likely take precedence in his narrative. Navigating a party fraught with anti-Israel sentiment may prove complex, but Emanuel seems most capable of unsettling Republican leaders.

The Republican field is also starting to clarify, though internal conflicts sure to become apparent in the upcoming debates and primaries loom large ahead.

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