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Chiefs vs. Bills divisional round odds: Kansas City rare underdog

Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs are rare underdogs in the divisional round against the Bills on Sunday in Buffalo.

If the Chiefs remain at +2.5, this will be the 11th time in Mahomes' 112 career games that Kansas City has not had an advantage.

But if Mahomes' track record is any indication, the Chiefs have nothing to fear when they head to Highmark Stadium this weekend.

When Mahomes is behind center, the Chiefs run an excellent 8-1-1 against the spread as an underdog.

Perhaps even more impressive is that the Chiefs are head over heels at 7-3 as underdogs when led by their franchise quarterback.

The only time Kansas City fell behind this season was in Week 18 against the Chargers when the team was without Mahomes and most of its key starters.


Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs reacts after defeating the Miami Dolphins. Getty Images

The Chiefs with Mahomes on the field had previously lost in last year's Super Bowl when Kansas City defeated the Philadelphia Eagles 38-35.

But Mahomes' only ATS loss as an underdog in his career happened to be against the Bills.

That game took place in Week 6 of 2022, with Buffalo defeating the Chiefs 24-20 at Arrowhead Stadium as the 2.5-point favorite.

Sunday's game will also be Mahomes' first playoff game on the road in his career.

According to Action Network, Mahomes is 39-11 in his career and 28-20-2 in road/neutral games.


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The Bills have already defeated the Chiefs once this season, leading 20-17 in Week 14 in Kansas City.

Buffalo entered this game as a team to watch, having won six straight against the Steelers in the Wild Card Round.

Meanwhile, the Chiefs secured a spot in the second round with a comfortable win over the Miami Dolphins, but entered the postseason with a record of 5 wins and 5 losses in their past 10 games.

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