Post Sports Gambling Editor/Producer Eric Richter is in his first season of Bettor's Guide.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Detroit Lions 48.5+
Don't expect anything intense.
The Lions love handoffs, but they should be looking to beat the Buccaneers through the air.
Tampa Bay's pass defense is one of the worst in the NFL.
Their run defense is also very good, allowing the eighth-fewest yards per carry and allowing the fewest rushing touchdowns in the NFL (5).
You might see some classic gunfights.
Tampa Bay allowed the most passing yards in the NFL and the Lions ranked seventh on the season, but that ranking didn't last the last eight weeks.
It comes down to a quarterback game, Jared Goff vs. Baker Mayfield, one of which will be playing in the NFC Championship.
The total is too low here. This he two units have no air defense capabilities.
Get the over 48.5 because the unguardable wide receivers will make for an interesting shootout.
Buffalo Bills (-2.5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs
It's finally time to get over the hump and tame the demons. It all happened Sunday night in front of the Bills, the marquee game of the NFL season.
The Bills are 3-3 against Kansas City in the Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes era, but two playoff losses are a bitter pill to swallow.
Kansas City allowed just four teams to score 20 points. One team (the Lions) scored a defensive touchdown, and the other (the Broncos) reached the goal on a short 10-yard drive.
Do you want to bet on the NFL?
The Chiefs defense is beyond elite and probably the best in the NFL.
But they are viable (23rd in YPC allowed) and WR2 dominant (25th WR2/DVOA). All statistics favor Buffalo.
Ignoring exaggerated injury concerns and wasting public money. Buffalo moves on and will be a sharp team at home.
last week: 0-2. Dolphins (L), Steelers (L)
2023 season: 17-19-2.
