The Democratic Party’s lead over Republicans among Black and Hispanic adults in the United States has declined by nearly 20% over the past three years, according to a new report from Gallup.
The survey results are Published on Wednesdayshows that the gap between the number of Black adults who identify as Democrats or Democratic-leaning Black adults and the number of Black adults who identify as Republicans or Republican-leaning has decreased from 66 percent in 2020 to approximately 47 percent in 2023. ing. This figure represents the smallest difference between polling agencies. has been recording data for Democrats since 1999.
Two-thirds of black adults surveyed (about 66%) identify as Democrats or Democratic-leaning, while 19% identify as Republicans or Republican-leaning.
Gallup found that historically low support for the Democratic Party is similar among Hispanic adults. According to the report, those who lean Democratic or identify as Democratic will only have a 12 percentage point advantage in 2023 over those who lean Republican or identify as Republican, up from 28% in 2020. It is said that
But white adults have remained relatively stable over the same period, with 15% to 17% leaning more toward or supporting the Republican Party than Democrats, according to the report.
Gallup says Democrats appear to be losing support among black and Hispanic voters, but the party is gaining support among Americans with a college education or a degree.
This new data shows that one in five Black voters in a December poll found that even if the candidate of their respective party The announcement was made after it was revealed that the respondents had said they would vote for “People”. According to the GenForward survey, 63% of Black voters said they would vote for Biden, 17% supported Trump and 20% said they would vote for someone else.
Rep. James Clyburn, D.C., has sought to highlight the president’s loss of support among Black Americans, pointing to Biden’s recent victory in Saturday’s South Carolina primary. Ta.
“I think the answer is absolutely yes,” Clyburn said on CNN’s “State of the Union” on Sunday. “And the best illustration of that is that in this primary, he received 96 percent of the vote, but the largest percentage of that vote (more than 97 percent) came from two HBCUs and one community college. It was in the town of Orangeburg.”
Gallup data comes from a comprehensive survey of 12,145 adults conducted in 2023. Overall, at a 95 percent confidence level, there is a margin of sampling error of ± 1 percentage point.
However, for smaller groups, the margin of error is larger, plus or minus 2 to 4 percentage points.
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