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Brock Purdy prop pick
The big game is a prop betting extravaganza, and San Francisco’s quarterback has a clear advantage. Brock Purdy deserves a lot of credit for getting the 49ers to this point, but he won’t be relied on in this matchup.
San Francisco has a significant ground advantage and will likely rely on Christian McCaffrey. So this only adds to the great statistical trends we’ve seen this season.
Purdy is averaging 28.6 pass attempts, but has only made 30.5 pass attempts in 13 of 18 games this season. This hit rate shows a significant advantage in implicit probability.
A 72% hit rate corresponds to implied odds of -257, which is a huge value for the current line.
Pick: Purdy with less than 30.5 pass attempts -110.
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