12:30 Report — Why RFK Jr. is getting so much attention

It’s Tuesday. Has anyone fallen for the April Fool’s prank? This year has been a lonely year for me. In today’s edition:

• former president trump He has been prohibited from attacking the judge’s daughter in future hush money trials.
• hill jared gans There is some interesting reading about how Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Affect polls with President Trump president biden. This provides useful context as to why his presidential bid could influence the outcome of November’s election.
• of Biden campaign This year, they are targeting Florida. Yes, it’s President Trump’s home state.And yes, that condition is Ron DeSantis (R) is the governor.

I kate martell A quick summary of this morning and what’s to come. Send tips, explanations, feedback, and cookie recipes to: cmartel@thehill.com. Did someone forward this newsletter to you? Sign up here.

There are many topics and discussions going on around us. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Third Party Presidential Bid. He only has enough signatures to appear on the ballot in six states, but nationwide voter turnout is close to 10 percent, according to The Hill and Decision Desk headquarters. It’s natural to wonder, then, why he’s garnering so much attention. But he could have a major impact on the outcome of November’s election.

To explain why this is important — *insert obligatory Ross Perot reference*: Kennedy is running one of the strongest third-party bids since businessman ross perot Mr. Perot was the most successful third-party candidate in recent history, winning 19 percent of the popular vote but failing to win any electoral votes. Like Mr. Perot, Mr. Kennedy has a good chance of winning every state, but he could be a spoiler that could affect the outcome of the election.

Who does the Kennedy poll hurt?: According to opinion polls, he President Biden’sMore supporters than before President Trump’s .hill jared gans wrote a useful explanation of Kennedy’s polling compared to Trump and Biden.

read more: “This is what the polls look like in a three-way race between Biden, Trump, and RFK Jr.”

States where RFK Jr. has enough signatures: The Kennedy campaign claims it has collected enough signatures to qualify for the ballot in states including North Carolina, Utah, New Hampshire and Hawaii. The campaign estimates it will need $15 million and 1 million signatures to qualify for the ballot in all 50 states. According to NPR.

^ His vice president nomination should help with that: Nicole Shanahan He is a wealthy lawyer and entrepreneur.

Kennedy’s views are all over the place. He is an environmental lawyer who wants to address the gap between rich and poor. But he is also skeptical of vaccines and has made controversial statements regarding the coronavirus pandemic.

• “RFK Jr. may have missed a big opportunity by being named vice president”: NPR
• “Conservative media criticizes independent RFK Jr.”: Axios
• “Why Silicon Valley reactionaries love RFK Jr.”: nation
• “Voters who wanted an alternative to Trump and Biden got it. Unfortunately, it’s RFK Jr.” Los Angeles Times editorial

Kennedy claimed on Monday that Biden is a “greater threat to democracy” than Trump.

He told CNN’s Erin Burnett:“President Biden is an even more serious threat to democracy because he is the first candidate in history and the first president in history to use federal agencies to censor political speech.”

📺 Watch Kennedy’s CNN interview

world central kitchen a food nonprofit founded by a famous chef. Jose Andres The company announced it would cease operations after seven employees were killed in an Israeli airstrike, The Washington Post reported.

Do we know that Israel is to blame? Yes, Prime Minister of Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu He acknowledged the strike, but said it was “unintentional.”

Who died?: The group, which has been prominently involved in Gaza relief efforts, said the attack on the aid convoy killed three British nationals, a dual US and Canadian citizen, a Palestinian worker, and Australian and Polish nationals. did.” (washington post)

Response from Andres: “The Israeli government needs to stop this indiscriminate killing. It needs to stop restricting humanitarian aid, stop killing civilians and aid workers, and stop using food as a weapon. No more innocent people. No lives will be lost.” Read his full X post

What you need to know about Jose Andres’ nonprofit World Central Kitchen Via Axios

The former judge President Trump’s The New York hush money case expanded a gag order that prohibits former presidents from attacking their daughters.

That’s oddly specific — why?: President Trump has posted numerous attacks on judges. Juan Marchan’s adult daughter, lauren marchanHe worked for a progressive political consulting firm. (Her company’s clients include) president biden , vice president harris and House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (DNY)

💡Why this matters: President Trump faces 34 charges related to hush money payments to adult film actresses stormy daniels The trial is scheduled to begin on April 15th. Trump has repeatedly criticized the wife and son of a judge in a recent civil fraud case in New York.

President Trump shed tears on Truth Social and condemned the expansion of the gag order.

Excerpt from President Trump’s post: “The corruption going on in his courtroom, Juan Marchan, another corrupt judge in New York State, gagged me so I could talk about a case that everyone, including the DA’s office, felt I should never talk about. I have just been informed that I cannot speak about the conflict.” ” Read his full post

hill Nile Stanage I wrote an interesting column today about speculation about former presidents. President Trump’s running mate.

“Former presidents are unusually polarizing, so few voters will be able to shift in either direction depending on their running mate. Trump being Trump, completely ignoring whoever is on the bottom half of the ticket.” There is a high possibility that this will happen.”

Okay, let’s play a game. Who do you think Trump will choose? All of these candidates have been mentioned.

• Sen. Tim Scott (RC)
• Member of Parliament Elise Stefanik (RN.Y.)
• Member of Parliament marjorie taylor green(R-Ga.)
• Former Hawaiian Congressman Tulsi Gabbard will leave the Democratic Party in 2022
• Arizona State Senate Candidate Lake Kali (R)

analysis: Read Stanage’s column to find out whether any of these candidates have the potential to significantly change the course of the ticket.

hill alex gangitano It is reported that President Biden’s The re-election campaign is trying to turn Florida blue.

Here’s campaign manager Julie Chavez Rodriguez’s reasoning: “Make no mistake about it, Florida is not an easy state to win, but it is winnable for President Biden, especially given President Trump’s weak and cash-strapped campaign and deep weaknesses within his coalition.” ,” she said.

context:Mr. Trump has a nearly 13 percentage point lead over Mr. Biden in Florida, according to The Hill/Decision Desk Headquarters polling average.

🥪 celebrate : Today is National Peanut Butter & Jelly Day!

👔 Is the tie included?: wall street journal Jacob Gallagher report The tie is making a comeback. Summary: “Presidents are wearing them less and less, and so are CEOs. So ties may become the riskiest fashion accessory ever.” Recent examples: At a major fundraiser last week, former Vice President Biden President Obama and the previous president clinton He wasn’t wearing a tie.

🔎 Interesting reading: washingtonian jessica sidman “Suspected Russian spy was chef at DC’s Mari Vanna”. 👀 I read the whole text

The House and Senate are absent. president biden and vice president harris I’m in Washington DC (always eastern)

• 1:30pm: white house press secretary Karine Jean Pierre Brief reporter. live stream
• 2:30pm: former president trump Talking about Biden’s border policy Grand Rapids, Michigan live stream
• 6 pm:President Trump is campaigning in Green Bay, Wisconsin. live stream
• today: primary election of Connecticut, Delaware, Rhode Island, Wisconsin, and New York. Additionally, runoff elections were held in Arkansas and Mississippi.