There’s a reason horse racing fans love the Kentucky Derby.
Sure, the glamorous pageantry is spectacular and it’s fun to get caught up in the mayhem, but there are also incredible opportunities if something happens right in your window.
That’s because the Kentucky Derby is set to be a mess.
When you throw 20 of the best horses in the world into one starting gate, things naturally get weird.
There is no other race like this.
Over the past two years, we’ve seen Mage (15-1) and Rich Strike (80-1) emerge victorious and offer huge rewards to participants.
This year’s horses are headlined by 17th-placed Fierceness (5-2), who won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile at odds of 16-1, and 2nd-placed Sierra Leone (3-1).
With the two consensus favorites at the top, you’d think most railbirds would start handicapping by choosing between chokes and deciding which longshot to use with exotics. But this race is uniquely poised because there are distinctly different holes in which the favorites can shoot.
As for Fiercenes, the consensus is that he either gets the race he wanted and wins because he leaves behind him, or he seems to struggle to adapt to the chaotic conditions and finishes at the back of the pack. it seems like.
As for Sierra Leone, there are many skeptics who think it doesn’t matter how he ends up and that they are too far behind.
Those criticisms became even louder when he took the No. 2 post position. Because his lack of speed means he will likely have to fall back in the first turn, not being fast enough to set the pace and potentially having to go 10 wide to get poised. This is because it has a high level of quality. For his optimal trip.
All of this opens the door for long shots to not only hit the board, but win the race.
No.7 Honor Marie (20-1)
Don’t be surprised if you hear Honor Marie’s name a lot on Saturday.
In addition to his strong performance in the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby, he has two wins and one second place in three races at Churchill Downs.
If things turn around and there is a clear path for Honor Marie, he has the speed and mentality to persevere in this area.
This Whitbeckman-trained horse is likely to be a hot trending horse, so don’t be surprised if this number drops significantly by the time the gates open.
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No.18 Stronghold (20-1)
As mentioned earlier, the Kentucky Derby is a big mess, so you need to consider horses that can handle that carnage.
Stronghold fits the bill, as he seems to enjoy fighting and shutting out races. He won back-to-back races in the Sunland Derby and Santa Anita Derby.
No. 15 Domestic products (30-1)
The homegrown piece probably doesn’t have the speed to turn the field around, but he’s proven to be one of the better closers, and if things go well and he can get within touching distance, he absolutely has the opportunity to add value. your exotic.
It also doesn’t hurt that he has an incredible connection to Airado Ortiz Jr., who rides the Chad Brown-trained horse.
He’s improved enough to be worth a closer look at this price.
