If you’ve ever wanted to see a classic example of bookmakers funneling ‘must win’ tax money into betting lines, look no further than Saturday’s Premier League match between Manchester City and Wolverhampton Wanderers There isn’t.
City, who head into the weekend one point behind Arsenal in the title race, are at -1200 on the three-way money line, while Wolves are at +2700.
These odds are ridiculous. There’s no other way to say it.
It’s true that Manchester City will be the center of attention on Saturday afternoon, but these numbers are outrageous.
please think about it. Manchester City hosted Luton Town on April 13, who are 21 points and 22 goals behind Wolves, and City beat the Hatters 5-1, but that’s not the point.
It is worth noting that Luton Town finished as +2200 underdogs in that match.
There is no world in which Wolverhampton, who beat City 2-1 in their first meeting of the season, should be bigger underdogs than Luton.
And it’s not like City have looked invincible lately.
They, and Arsenal too, have played a large amount of football in a short period of time and appear to be feeling the effects of crowding at match venues.
Their win against Nottingham Forest last week was more fortunate than impressive.
Forest, who are in the midst of a relegation battle, produced 2.2 expected goals and held City to just 0.9 in their 2-0 loss to the defending champions.
The win was just another worrying sign that City are not currently at their best. And how can this happen?
Get an overview of the best US sports betting sites and apps
This will be City’s 10th match in three competitions since March 31, and the stakes were high in each match.
Wolves have won twice this season against Tottenham, two against Chelsea and one against City.
They can punch up.
This number is 100% worth playing, even if it is a bet with a very high chance of losing.
Recommended: Wolverhampton (January 27, FanDuel Sportsbook).
