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Balance of power: Vulnerable Dems look to differentiate themselves from unpopular Biden

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Some of the Democratic Senate incumbents most vulnerable to re-election in November are seeking to highlight their differences with President Biden ahead of a key showdown.

“‘Distancing’ from party brands is a long-standing tradition in Congress,” said Jacob Neiheisel, an associate professor of political science at the State University of New York at Buffalo.

Sen. Jon Tester, D-Mont. Sherrod Brown, Democrat of Ohio. Tammy Baldwin, Wisconsin. Jacky Rosen, D-Nevada, and Bob Casey, D-Pennsylvania, are locked in the fiercest race of the 2024 cycle, with Democrats facing one of the toughest redistricting maps in years. There is.

“They’re going to sound like MAGA Republicans in TV ads before it’s all over,” said Republican strategist Scott Jennings.

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Democratic senators such as Montana’s Jon Tester (right) are emphasizing their differences with President Biden ahead of the November election. (Getty Images)

Last week, Tester voiced support for a largely Republican-backed anti-illegal immigration measure named after murdered Georgia college student Laken Riley. He previously voted against advancing the bill, which targets undocumented immigrants like those charged with Riley’s murder, as an amendment to a larger bill. But Tester said at the time that he would support the bill if it came to the floor as a standalone bill, even though Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D.N.Y.) was unlikely to do so. allow it to happen.

Mr. Tester’s office vigorously pushed back against previous claims that he opposed the bill. “The Mitch McConnell advocacy group’s claim that Sen. Tester has changed his position on the Laken Riley Act is patently false and another desperate attempt to politicize the border rather than repair it. ” his office told Fox News Digital.

The Montana senator isn’t the only one to sharpen his differences with Biden in the lead-up to the election.

Rosen, who represents the swing state of Nevada, has also publicly disagreed with Biden on numerous occasions. In particular, Rosen is partially credited with dashing the Biden administration’s hopes of confirming Adeel Mangi as the first Muslim federal appellate judge. A Nevada senator has announced his opposition to controversial candidate Biden, citing his ties to an organization that is considered anti-law enforcement.

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Vulnerable Dem Sens

Democrats face one of the toughest Senate election conditions in years. (Getty Images: Anna Moneymaker, Drew Angerer, Ethan Miller, Sarah Silbiger)

“This is what they’re doing,” Jennings said. “They spend five and a half years supporting Democrats and Democratic policies that everyone in the state hates. And then they spend six months pretending it never happened.”

But Republican strategists also added that convincing voters to be different from the president could be difficult, given that they almost always vote with him.

In 2023, Tester was the second Democratic senator to vote for Biden. But he still agrees with the president 94.6% of the time. five thirty eight analysis. Mr. Brown voted 97.9% for Mr. Biden, Mr. Rosen at 98.6% and Mr. Baldwin and Mr. Casey each at 99.3%.

“Jon Tester is doing what’s right for Montana. President Trump has signed more than 20 bills into law. Over the years, Jon has worked on everything from securing our borders to protecting Montana from onerous energy regulations. “I have stood up to President Biden on many issues.” Monica Robinson, Tester Montana Public Relations Officer;

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The race between Tester and Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown is considered two of the most competitive races of 2024. (Chip Somodevilla)

Matt Keyes, a spokesman for the Friends of Sherrod Brown, claimed the Ohio senator has similar motives. “He will stand up to presidents of both parties to oppose bad trade deals, work with Republicans to ensure Border Patrol agents and law enforcement officers have the resources they need, and push the Biden administration to invest in Chinese-made electric vehicles. “I called for a crackdown,” Keith said.

“Biden is unpopular here in Ohio, and he’s going to need to poll much better than Biden to get Brown,” said Paul Beck, a political science professor at Ohio State University.

Additionally, he noted that any move by Brown to support Republican efforts could only help him. “He’s not going to pay a fine for supporting the Republican bill, which could show his independence,” Beck said.

“Tammy Baldwin has stood up to President Trump and President Biden on behalf of the workers of Wisconsin,” Tammy Baldwin said in a statement on behalf of Senate Press Secretary Andrew Mamo, echoing similar sentiments. “The people of Wisconsin trust her because no matter who is in her White House, she will fight for the people of Wisconsin.”

“Jackie Rosen strives to get things done in a bipartisan manner and will not disagree with party leaders to do what is right for Nevada,” said Nevada Rosen spokeswoman Johanna Warshaw. I was never afraid of it.”

“Bob Casey consistently ranks among the most effective bipartisan senators in Washington and is committed to creating jobs and lowering costs,” Maddie McDaniel, press secretary for Senate President Bob Casey, said in a statement. I have made every effort.”

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senator bob casey

In Pennsylvania, Sen. Bob Casey (D) often polls higher than President Biden. (Al Drago/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

Mike Berg, director of communications for the National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC), told FOX News Digital: “Now that Joe Biden’s poll numbers are taking a hit, Democrats are saying everything they voted for. “I’m running against him,” he said, “which is very strange.”

Jennings predicted that senators would continue their efforts to prove their differences with the president, especially given his historically low approval ratings.

Mr. Biden maintains an average approval rating of 38.7%. Gallup revealed last month. This is historically low; each of the past nine presidents since Dwight Eisenhower had a higher average at the same point in time.

“Joe Biden created 15 million jobs, capped the price of insulin at $35, and made health care more affordable than ever,” a Biden campaign spokesperson said in a statement, noting the president’s accomplishments. I did,” he said.

The spokesperson emphasized that “Democratic parties across the United States will act on Mr. Biden’s “historic accomplishments for the American people.”

“Republican MAGA policies are harmful to voters, as we saw with the failure of the 2022 red wave and the Democratic Party’s strong over-wins in the New York special election and Kentucky gubernatorial race,” they said. added.

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While senators are employing a historically reliable strategy, not everyone is convinced it will continue to work. “As politics becomes increasingly nationalized in the United States, it remains to be seen whether voters in these states will be able to separate individuals from political parties,” Neiheisel said.

Republican strategist Zach Roday, a partner at Ascent Media, called the Democratic Party’s weak position ahead of the election “nonsense.”

“These Senate Democrats can always safely vote for Biden,” he said.

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