A new poll of New York voters has Donald Trump closing in on President Biden, with the former president seeing strong gains among black and Jewish voters in the state.
If the election were held today, Biden would receive 47% of the vote and Trump would receive 39%. Discovered by the University of Siena The survey involved 805 voters.
The poll has a margin of error of 4.1 percentage points, meaning the race could become even closer.
“We will win New York!” the 78-year-old presumptive Republican nominee declared at a South Bronx rally on May 23, winning over black and Hispanic voters by arguing that they have been hit hard by economic problems under the Biden administration, including a record increase in illegal immigration and high inflation.
According to the Siena poll, Trump has the support of 29% of New York’s black residents and 26% of its Latino residents ahead of his Nov. 5 rematch with Biden, 81.
In 2020, just 6% of black New Yorkers and 22% of Hispanics supported Trump, who at the time claimed he was on the verge of winning New York. according to Exit poll.
Biden holds a narrow lead over Trump among Jewish voters with 52% support, but the former president has 46% support among them after Biden’s months of dominance over Israel’s war with Hamas in the Gaza Strip.
Trump won just 30% of the national Jewish vote in 2020 after winning 24% in 2016. according to Exit poll.
The 45th president, who grew up in Queens and moved his residence to Florida while in office, is far outperforming other Republicans, with the same Siena poll showing Republicans trailing by 15 percentage points in the general congressional vote (50% to 35%).
The former president lost New York state to Biden by 23.1 percentage points four years ago and to Democrat Hillary Clinton by 22.5 percentage points in 2016.
The last Republican candidate to win the state was Ronald Reagan in 1984, and the only Republican candidate to receive more than 40% of the support since 1992 was George W. Bush, who won 40.1% of the New York vote in 2004.
The Trump campaign celebrated the new poll results, with spokeswoman Caroline Leavitt saying, “New Yorkers are waking up to the fact that Joe Biden and the Democrats are trying to ruin their historic city.”
“As a native New Yorker who helped shape New York’s skyline, President Trump is the leader who can Make New York and America Great Again,” Leavitt added.
“Joe Biden and the Democrats’ disastrous open border, sanctuary city, and soft-on-crime policies have turned our country into a dumping ground for illegal immigrants and criminals, like the thug who beat up an NYPD officer in Times Square and the monster who raped a 13-year-old girl in broad daylight.”
The Biden campaign did not immediately respond to The Washington Post’s request for comment.
The Siena College survey follows a poll released May 30 by Emerson College that found Trump Only 7 points In the Empire State.
On the same day, the former president was convicted by a Manhattan jury of 34 felony counts of falsifying business records in a case brought by Democratic District Attorney Alvin Bragg.
