Quarterbacks are the giant shrimp of fantasy football.
The strategy for drafting them in fantasy is to map driveway parking to real-life parkway driving.
It’s upside down. It’s like wearing a tie-dye T-shirt to church, or dress shoes to a theme park, or a cummerbund to a barbecue.
The thing is, most leagues have enough available quarterbacks.
And because the best quarterbacks are picked as early as the second or third round, once you have one there, you’ll be left targeting the running back and wide receiver positions for the rest of the draft.
Doing so will make your team look badly dressed.
The best QBs are just too expensive. Picking them early in the draft is like buying a souvenir T-shirt – it’s expensive but falls apart in the wash.
Maybe an overpriced QB won’t collapse, but drafting one QB high will likely cut the rest in the first wash.
That means players like Josh Allen, Jalen Hart, Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes will go into the draft knowing they’re out of reach.
They stay on the draft shelf, let someone else get sucked into that illusory tourist trap.
We don’t mind playing the waiting game.
If they can get off to a strong start at RB and WR, maybe they could consider Joe Burrow or Dak Prescott in the 6th-7th rounds.
These are still pricey tourist foods, but not by much, and the stronger ingredients used in the rest of the draft mean they’ll likely last even longer.
But then again, Jordan Love will likely be there a round or two later, so it’s okay to wait. Or maybe Kyler Murray.
The costumes are getting cheaper and cheaper, and the materials in the roster are getting stronger and stronger. Sure the designs aren’t as flashy, and other things might look better when you look in the mirror, but these in-between choices make for some really cool fantasy costumes.
Are you going to miss all these guys?
Don’t worry, there’s still plenty left, in fact there are enough good ones that I’m thinking about getting two.
This way you can form platoons based on who you are most compatible with and who you feel the best with.
Now, certainly, the higher you go in the draft at any position, the greater the inherent risk.
There are fewer sure things, and even the most sure things this far into the draft don’t come with a high level of “certainty.”
Fantasy Football DVQ Commentary
Hop out the pool, open your vacation suitcase, fire up your laptop and get ready: fantasy football season is back.
Fantasy Madman is back with the latest instalment of DVQ.
The Draft Value Index is a player rating system that assigns one universal number to every player that predicts the point in the draft when a player’s projected production will match up with his estimated draft pick value.
Because the disparity between the top production levels is large, the disparity between the top ranked DVQ values is also large.
A player’s projections take into account playing time, expected usage/touches, coaching tendencies, part performance, and injury history. DVQ measures these projections against the player’s schedule and takes into account position depth and replacement value.
These ratings are updated regularly.
So having a backup is good insurance in case one of our last picks fails.
Brock Purdy, Trevor Lawrence, Jared Goff — any of those guys are OK, I think you could start them any given week.
We’re going back to the well of Aaron Rodgers again.
We have no concerns about his recovery from his Achilles injury and only slight concerns about his age.
What concerns us most is the fact that he has no track record with the Jets and, even worse, that this Jets coaching staff does not have a track record of producing productive quarterbacks.
So why draft him? Because concerns are not the same as warnings. Plus… a discount!
Do you bet on the NFL?
For fantasy managers skeptical enough to embrace this selection, Deshaun Watson could actually provide value at his high ADP (156.5).
But be warned, this is the same fantasy as walking into primary school in a filthy t-shirt, only it will be gross and embarrassing.
Kirk Cousins, Matthew Stafford, Tua Tagovailoa, Justin Herbert, all of these guys are solid and basically free.
He is a perfect fit for the team’s QB2 position and is ready to slide into the starting spot at any time. I would also put rookie Jayden Daniels in this group.
So don’t buy any expensive QBs as souvenirs.
Wait until late before selecting a QB.
