As Aaron Judge continues to improve on his own American League home run record with 62 hits, he can pursue the positive expected value of his home run projections.
This happens when the true probability of a judge hitting the long ball is higher than the sportsbook odds suggest.
Judge leads the MLB with 51 home runs, including two four-game home run streaks.
The Yankees captain has proven time and time again that when it rains, it pours.
He has hit seven home runs in his last six games, nine in his last 10 games and 10 in his last 13 games.
Judge will face Mitchell Parker at Nationals Park when the Bombers open a three-game series against an unfamiliar Nationals team on Monday.
Washington’s rookie pitcher has been a long-time fixture in the starting rotation but is still on the big league learning curve.
Parker is allowing 1.17 home runs per nine innings, according to FanGraphs, and has allowed three in his past three starts.
He throws his fastball 50 percent of the time, which is his weakest pitch against higher exit velocity, and is being thrown fastballs faster than 95 mph 42.1 percent of the time.
Everything you need to know about MLB betting
Judge is batting the best of his career against fastballs, batting .391 against them with 28 home runs.
Play: Aaron Judge home run (+158, FanDuel)
