The time has come to “support like hot” once again.
The past two NFL seasons have been very profitable for our player prop picks and bets, earning 35.07 units last year and 46.33 units the year before that.
Our secret is to attack alternative yardage-over props, which are often priced between +500 and +1400.
This gives us a combined record of 122-156 (43.9% hit rate) and a return on investment of 30.15% between the two seasons.
We hope the NFL continues to do great things with even more NFL player props for Week 1!
Week 1 NFL Player Prop Picks
Jonny Mundt – Under 2.5 receptions (+100, BetMGM) | Under 22.5 receiving yards (-115, DraftKings)
Minnesota's backup tight end is getting TJ Hockenson-level respect from oddsmakers, but it's not clear why.
Josh Oliver is listed at the top of the depth chart. He's more of a blocker, and it's very unclear what his snap count will be this season with Hockenson out.
Mundt being expected to make three catches is a bit of a stretch and a great under bet to go for.
The Vikings will open their season on the road against the Giants.
Bryce Young rushing yards over 10.5 (-110, Bet365) | over 25 (+350, DraftKing, Bet365)
Bryce Young has to prove he can be a starting quarterback in the NFL.
During his time at Alabama, Young was at his best as a running quarterback.
We all know he's not big enough to run consistently at the NFL level, but judging by his actions this second half of the season, he doesn't seem to realize that yet.
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Young ran more than ever towards the end of the season, averaging 6.49 yards per attempt and recording 10.5 or more rushing yards in three of his final five attempts.
He's scheduled to play away against the Saints on Sunday.
