The NFL is back in Week 4 with three more player props for Sunday's schedule.
Last week, this column went 2-0, making them 6-0 on the season.
However, this is a fresh week, so let's find some more winners.
On Sunday, I'm targeting a Carolina running back who has a great matchup, a Pittsburgh receiver on the verge of breaking out, and a rookie with a very high ceiling from Arizona State.
(Please note that lines fluctuate throughout the week, sometimes dramatically. So if you need help determining whether your number is still playable, please contact us at X. @wayne_sports_).
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Tuba Hubbard (Panthers vs. Bengals) 58.5+ rushing yards (-114, FanDuel)
Hubbard had an impressive 21 carries for 114 yards against the Raiders last week, benefiting from an ideal run game script.
I don't expect it to play out like that again Sunday against Cincinnati, but this is another matchup he could take advantage of.
The Bengals rank 26th in defensive line yards and 31st in defensive EPA against the run. They also could be without three starting defensive linemen in Trey Hendrickson, B.J. Hill and Sheldon Rankins.
According to fantasy points data, Hubbard ranks fourth out of 35 qualifying running backs with 3.32 yards after contact per attempt.
He also leads all running backs in carry percentage of at least five yards this season.
Dave Canales has repeatedly emphasized that he wants to establish runs on early downs, and this is a great spot for Hubbard.
George Pickens (Steelers at Colts) Receiving Yards 50+ (-130, DraftKings)
It's been a relatively quiet start to the season for Pickens, but his underlying metrics are elite.
He has a 25% target share and ranks 12th in deep targets. They also rank third in the NFL with an air yard possession rate of 49.9%.
This week is the week to see a true breakout game between Pickens and Indianapolis, who have struggled in pass defense.
The Colts rank 21st against the pass in DVOA and 26th against WR1.
In the first three games, they allowed an average of 92 yards to Nico Collins, Romeo Doubes, Roma Odunze and DJ Moore.
They run the fifth-best Cover 3 in the NFL, and Pickens averages 3.7 yards per route run against that coverage, ranking 13th out of 102 eligible wide receivers, according to FPD. It is said to be ranked.
The Steelers are dealing with injuries to Najee Harris, Jalen Warren and Cordarrelle Patterson and may be forced to open up the passing game more this week as their entire backfield is stretched. .
Justin Fields ranks second in the NFL with an adjusted completion rate of 82.9%, and I believe he can get Pickens the ball in this dream matchup.
Marvin Harrison Jr. (Cardinals vs. Commanders) 68.5+ receiving yards (-125, DraftKings)
Betting on WR1 against the Commanders, who rank last in pass defense DVOA, EPA, and completion percentage, is becoming a system play for me.
Ja'Marr Chase had six catches for 118 yards and two touchdowns in the Week 3 matchup.
Malik Nabors had 10 catches for 127 yards and one score in Week 2.
Mike Evans and Chris Godwin combined for 13 catches for 144 yards and three touchdowns in Week 1.
Harrison ranks ninth in the NFL in air yardage possession with 45.9 percent, and his 19.8 yards per reception leads all receivers with 10 or more catches.
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Tight end Trey McBride is expected to miss this week's game because he is in concussion protocol, giving Harrison even more cap space.
Look for Kyler Murray to be a big, high-flying game with an outstanding rookie wideout on the receiving side.
Why trust New York Post Betting?
Jacob Wayne handicaps college football and the NFL for the New York Post. He gained 84.5 units across two sports for an ROI of 6.27%.
