Five Democratic-leaning counties in Pennsylvania have had Republican majorities since 2020, according to political expert Seth Keschel, who released voter registration data Thursday.
The results suggest former President Donald Trump is more likely to win the Keystone State in 2024 than in 2020. It's also another indicator of the ongoing reorganization of American politics under the Trump administration and the success of Republican grassroots organizing efforts. The condition is red.
WATCH — Crowd gathers outside Pennsylvania grocery store to see President Trump:
Pennsylvania voter registration for 2024 resulted in a “change in Republican affiliation” in 63 of 67 counties compared to the 2020 election.
In 2020, Democrats held a majority of voter registration in 18 counties. Four years later, that number has dropped to 13, with a difference of five counties, Keschel outlined.
The counties that flipped Republican are just outside of Pennsylvania's largest cities, in both the eastern and western parts of the state.
- Beaver: D+6.0 to R+2.5% (West Pittsburgh)
- Berks: D+2.1% to R+2.5% (west of Allentown)
- Bucks: D+2.0% ~ R+0.5% (southeast of Allentown)
- Fayette: D+6.5% to R+9.2% (South of Pittsburgh)
- Lucerne D=9.1% ~ R+0.2% (southwest of Scranton)
Republicans failed to win any significant victories in recent Pennsylvania elections. Trump lost the state to President Joe Biden in 2020 by about 80,000 votes. In 2022, Sen. John Fetterman (D) defeated Republican Dr. Oz by about 263,000 votes. In 2022, Gov. Josh Shapiro (Democratic) defeated Republican Douglas Mastriano by 790,000 votes.
