Congressional races in the lower Hudson Valley are very close, with Mike, a first-term Republican congressman, receiving support from 45% of potential voters and former congressmen. Mondaire Jones supports 44% in new poll Released on Monday Found it.
A new Emerson College/Pix 11/Hill poll for the 17th District finds Working Families Party candidate Anthony Frascone has a 3% approval rating, with the rest undecided.
Lawler's narrow one-point lead is within the poll's margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points, meaning the race is on the line.
Another poll from Emerson College, just north of the 18th District, shows Democratic Rep. Pat Ryan leading Republican Rep. Allison Espito 48% to 43%, with nearly 10% undecided. It becomes. This is outside the margin of error and is still a competitive race.
Both races come amid seven House races in the New York suburbs and upstate, and could determine which party controls the House.
During the 2022 midterm elections, Republicans won four seats in New York, including Lawler's victory, and regained the House majority.
Who votes could be key in a close race between Lawler and Jones.
Younger voters support Jones, older voters support Lawler.
“Mondale Jones leads among younger voters under 40, 51% to 40%, and among voters in their 40s, 45% to 41%,” said Emerson Executive Director Spencer Kimball. However, it lags among voters over 50, 49% to 40%. The College Poll revealed this.
“Working Families Party candidates also received 6% of votes among voters under 40.”
Mr. Jones' Democratic allies have tried to remove Mr. Frascone from the left-wing WFP ballot, fearing that he is a spoiler who could siphon votes from the liberal Mr. Jones and cost him the election.11 He took time to appear in court.
Lawler has a 47% favorability rating in the district, but 40% of voters have an unfavorable opinion of him and 13% don't know him well.
40% of respondents have a favorable opinion of Jones, while 40% have a negative view of him. 20% don't know much about Jones.
The poll was conducted from Oct. 1 to 3, and most of the poll came after Lawler was exposed last week in an old photo of herself wearing blackface and pretending to be the “Thriller” hitmaker. That was before he apologized for having his enthusiasm as a “super fan” taken advantage of. A college Halloween party has surfaced.
Meanwhile, the 18th Congressional District had a large gender gap in Ryan's favor.
Emerson's Kimball noted that for Esposito, men had a 52% to 40% break, while for Ryan, women had a 54% to 34% break.
On the other hand, the presidential election for the front-runner is close in both the 17th and 18th constituencies.
In the 17th District, 49% support Kamala Harris and 49% support Donald Trump.
In the 18th District, 48% support Donald Trump and 47% support Harris.
The most important issue for NY17 voters is the economy (32%), followed by immigration (20%), housing affordability (13%), crime (11%), and threats to democracy (10%). follows.
The top issues for NY18 voters were the economy (39%), housing affordability (16%), immigration (14%), threats to democracy (11%), and crime (6%).
Voters asked whether the number of immigrants seeking refuge in the United States is a crisis, a problem but not a crisis, or a problem at all.
Majorities of voters in both districts believe there is a crisis: 56% in NY17 and 53% in NY18.
The survey was conducted online and by text among 630 potential voters in each constituency. Each poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.
