The 2024 election is not shaping up to be a contested race. The key appears to be which candidate can persuade more people to vote silently.
Both former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris have the support and dedication of all the people they are about to gain support from. This is now a battle for the rest of the election, the remaining centrists who simply don't like one side or the other, although for very different reasons.
Few people are indifferent to Donald Trump. One-third of the nation loves him, one-third hates him, and the remaining third feels both emotions to some degree, if not passionately, at the time.
In “Good Trump” Like when he was on “Gutfeld!”'' People saw a side of “The Donald'' that rarely appears on the campaign trail. That's President Trump, who began his speech in the very spot where he was almost assassinated just a few weeks ago with these lines:As I said…This type of Trump, if he can overcome his worst instincts, will walk away winning this election.
Issues that move more voters Almost everyone supports Trump's position.. in economy, inflation, immigration, borders, crimevoters support Trump and the Republican Party's positions on almost everything except health care and abortion. The only conclusion that can be drawn as to why Trump doesn't run away from the election is that a significant number of voters simply don't like him.
And this goes beyond people suffering from Trump Derangement Syndrome. This is also the middle class that doesn't like the Democratic Party very much. They seem naturally inclined to side with the Republicans, but that's not the case, and that's a Trump problem.
Either he does something to give them a little bit of a hand, or he lets them come back, or this election ends with undecided people staying home and not being able to vote either way. Either leave the top of the ballot blank in what you hope will be a pure turnout election. candidate. That's a possibility, but it's not a great strategy.
You might think this bodes well for Democrats and Kamala Harris, but she just so happens to be the worst candidate proposed by either party since Walter Mondale in 1984.
Mondale served as vice president to unpopular President Jimmy Carter. He was running against the incumbent, Ronald Reagan, whose economic policies were really just starting to take hold in 1984 (and would later take hold) and represented an opportunity for people to move away from him. As popular as Reagan was in that election, Mondale also proved to be deeply unpopular.
This time it's Kamala Harris.
Harris is a bubble-wrap candidate, playing it safe perhaps more than anyone ever. Fine antique china is not treated with as much care as hers.
She avoided interviews for over a month as if she owed money. Now, she's just wrapping herself up in appearances like The View and Stephen Colbert. If you only get interviews from people who already support you, perhaps we should question the sincerity of your claim that you want to be an “all American president.” You can't do that if you refuse to talk to most people.
No matter what you say about Donald Trump, he will speak to almost any reporter, knowing for sure that he will be criticized if there is any conflict. Kamala Harris speaks only to sycophants Holocaust deniers like Whoopi Goldberg, Podcasts about orgies and anal sexinfamous Blackface “comedians” like Howard Stern and other pre-approved Democratic supporters and donors.
That may win Democrats' hearts, but she's already won their hearts by not being Donald Trump. All the “Trump is Hitler” rhetoric around the world isn't going to cut anyone's grocery bill a penny or put an extra drop of gas in their car.
Harris also appears to be embracing the turnout election model.
These are unknown to either campaign. If one of them wins, it will happen involuntarily. If either side goes beyond themselves and does something unexpected that shocks the voters and benefits the 3-5% of voters who are likely to be swayed in this election, then that will continue. You might pull away and win.
Otherwise, they look like a few candidates who want their opponents to lose.
derek hunter isDerek Hunter Podcast HostHe was also a former staffer for the late Sen. Conrad Burns (R-Mont.).
