James Blair, who heads the Trump campaign's political operations, said in an interview that former President Donald Trump is in a “very good position” in the battleground states. Breitbart News Saturdaywe will look at each one.
“On the top line, President Trump is clearly in a very good position. As you can see in the polls over the last few weeks, everything is really pointing in the same direction — nationally and state by state. , he's ahead of where he was four years ago, even eight years ago, by a very large margin,” Blair began, adding, “He's ahead in the polls with such a good place in the polls. “We've never done that before, and we're leading on average in almost every battleground state,” he said, adding an even bigger perspective.
Prime Minister Blair said the Trump campaign was being aggressive. [Kamala Harris’s campaign] They are very defensive and probably don't like the current odds. ”
Prime Minister Blair toured each battleground state, starting with North Carolina, and explained that polling averages “historically underestimate support for President Trump.” That said, the average now shows he is “a full three points ahead of where he was on the same day four years ago.” Prime Minister Blair also said that North Carolina's electoral districts have shifted to the right since 2020.
“Many people think this is a Republican-majority state. That's not the case. It's a Democratic-majority state, but since the 2020 election, it's moved three points to the right based on registration alone. And that's about a 270,000 net increase in the number of voters between Republicans and Democrats because of the increase in voter registration that we've made, effectively reducing the deficit.” “Republicans and Democrats have closed applications for mail-in ballots,” he added. This time there is a difference of about 15 points compared to 2020. “One of the challenges for the state will be voter migration due to storms, he said.
Prime Minister Blair said Trump was “performing polls in Georgia, on average, by a slightly smaller margin, about half a point to about half a point ahead of our polls.” All in all, he said, the Peach State looks good.
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“Since 2020, at last count, about 62 percent of new net voter registrations came from counties that Trump won in 2020. …Again, absentee mail-in voting in Georgia claims are down by 80%, and the difference is just over 1 million votes. But even with the gains, that gap has narrowed by several points, according to internal tracking data,” he said.
He also said Arizona “looks really strong” for Trump. He said he worked with Turning Point USA to tout “structural benefits” that had pushed voters to the right in the state, citing three specific points.
“Since 2020, we have increased the benefit of voter registration by about 140,000 people in the 2020 election. We are currently at about 270,000,” he said, adding that Republicans also “have increased the benefit of mail-in voters more than on a partisan basis. “There are more people,” he said.
In Pennsylvania, Blair continued, Democrats are clearly nervous, noting that Vice President Kamala Harris has brought in a new senior adviser to the Keystone State.
“The polls there seem to be doing well, they're way ahead of us, and I think, you know, the canary in the coal mine is voter registration, which is a four-point shift of voters to the right. So four years ago there were about 685,000 more registered Democrats than Republicans, and that's down to about 320,000, if you look at active voters. , that gap has narrowed even further,” he said, explaining that voters “moved a full four points to the right in Pennsylvania.”
Additionally, he said mail-in voting is down “by about 30 percent compared to four years ago in terms of in-person applications.”
Discussion then turned to Wisconsin, where Blair said the state was “trending” in President Trump's direction.
“So Wisconsin is a very close state and, you know, a very high turnout state.The minimum number of raw votes changes depending on the final tally between ’16 and ’20. . But again, mail-in voting there was down 68 percent,” he said, translating it. “That's a difference of about 440,000 votes that were cast four years ago but are not cast this time.”
Blair added that Wisconsin has historically been difficult to poll, but said the Trump campaign has “good reason to be optimistic” about the state.
As for Michigan, Blair said current trends show President Trump is closing in on Harris, if not ahead.
“Yesterday, I think we may have flipped the average in Michigan, yes, I think so, but that would have been seven points above the average four years ago. So a big gain. You can get it,” he said, adding to the bigger picture.
Prime Minister Blair also pointed out that committed voters were abandoning Harris' campaign.
“So Michigan is ripe, and potentially more than half of Michigan's net new voter registrations could come from Trump counties. Since 2020, there have been 24 requests for absentee mail-in ballots. % decrease. The difference is 670,000 votes compared to four years ago, and it has closed the gap by double digits in 2022. I mean, Michigan, you know, this state is deeply perceived as the toughest state for us, and that's got to be a pretty big blow to Kamala, because virtually everything. “Because we've been there for the last two weeks in the polls and all the trajectories are clear in the same direction,” he continued.
Prime Minister Blair also mentioned Nevada, which he said had narrowed the partisan voter registration gap by four percentage points.
“It was like a D plus 5 state four years ago. Now it's a D plus 1 or a little below D plus 1. So that's 67,000 net voters, which is what we ended up with. “That's double Biden's lead,” he said, noting that the state is also cleaning up its voter rolls, another great sign for President Trump.
“And because this state is an automatic mail-in voting state, a universal mail-in voting state, ballots were supposed to be handed out on the street to voters who shouldn't be on the rolls…and now that's not going to happen. So , this is a huge victory for us in terms of election integrity,” he added.
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