Football handicapper Sean Trepedi is in his first season in the Post's NFL Bettor's Guide.
San Francisco 49ERS (-1.5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs
There's a huge list of records to support Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid if they are a) on extended rest and b) listed as vulnerable.
If you rely on these trends alone, you might be better off betting on the Chiefs until both of them retire.
The 49ers themselves are getting a few more days of rest, and Brock Purdy is on a 3-0 winning streak in regular season games with a margin of four points or less.
The Chiefs' league-leading pressure rate challenges Purdy's 67 percent success rate when under pressure.
Fluctuations on the injury report aside, the 49ers' tenacious secondary is ready to expose its makeshift receiving corps in a Super Bowl revenge game with a home crowd cheering.
Seattle Seahawks (+3) vs. Atlanta Falcons
They may be worried about Seattle, who has gone from 3-0 to 3-3 and is an underdog with three points against the surging Falcons.
Nevertheless, now is the time to buy low. Forget about last week's short-break failure against the 49ers, which called for a statement after an embarrassing loss to Arizona.
The Lions are probably the most complete team in the NFL, so the only loss in question was a blocked field goal in the fourth quarter against the Giants.
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Seattle's offense has three receivers averaging over 50 yards per game. This is because Geno Smith leads all quarterbacks in passing completions, passing yards, and first downs gained through the air.
On the ground, Kenneth Walker's recent efficiency has made Atlanta's rushing defense attractive, allowing the fifth-most carries and seventh-most yards.
last week: 0-2. Patriots (left). Broncos(L)
season: 6-6.
Why trust New York Post Betting?
Sean Trepedi is handicapped by the NFL, NHL, MLB, and college football for the New York Post. He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to reduce risk.
