Team Blue is nervous. Republicans are certainly at risk of overconfidence, but Democrats are at risk of disaster, and they know it. Vice President Kamala Harris may be tough at rallies, but you can hear a different message from her representatives on the campaign trail and in the media. There, you'll find increasingly shrill appeals to race and racial debt, and hopeful anticipation for a silent hero to save the day.
First, the race. Racial loyalties, animosity, and vengeance, long the cornerstone of Democratic politics, are playing an increasing role. President Joe Biden, still alive, infamously told a podcast host in 2020 that if you didn't vote for him, “you're not black.” After the coup, the job passed to his boss, former President Barack Obama.
We live in a time when librarians, silent fallen defenders, host gay drag shows for kids. If you're doubting the Democratic Party's theory of silence, I'm sorry.
President Obama dutifully responded, heading first to Philadelphia and then telling black men that they had an obligation to vote for Harris. It was marketed as tough love from a black American father figure, or something to that effect, but it was not well-received.
NBC's Monday headline said, “As Obama campaigns for Harris, he has a tough following among young black men.” An editorial in The Hill proclaimed, “Obama's comments reveal what Democrats think about black voters.'' One Detroit News article reported, “Kwame Kilpatrick says Obama is 'not the savior.'”
A Brookings Institution report asked, “Why are black men angry at Obama?” We might just happen to get an answer from “The Daily Show,” which is still on the air. Last week, it featured a joke about the 44th president “stopping the entire population”, which drew cheers and applause from the largely white audience.
Speaking of white people, there is also a racial obligation to vote for Harris. “White People” pro-Kamala CNN commentator Angela Rye explained Over the weekend, he said he would not be allowed to “shirk the responsibility he has to face for not personally showing up to save our democracy.” The anchor didn't seem to have any problems with this.
Earlier this week, “Justice Correspondent” Elie Mystal condemned White people are taking part in columns where the nation thinks it's okay to run for office, calling us “the 'problem' of this country,” and opposing democracy by saying we're “holding this country back.” He accused them of forming a “global force that destroys the global environment.” ”
Speaking of national issues, former Vice President Dick Cheney's daughter returned to the trails this week relieve Democrats were nervous when her friends promised they were secretly voting for Harris, a “quiet Democratic voter.”
Ask yourself if you can think back over the past 20 years and recall a time when the Democratic Party has been shamed into a kind of self-conscious silence in national politics, popular culture, or your local book club. . Think of yard signs that read “IN THIS HOUSE WE BELIEVE,” bumper stickers that say “THIS IS NOT NORMAL,” or wealthy Hillary Clinton supporters wearing “P***y hats.”
We live in a time when librarians, fallen defenders of silence, host gay drag shows for children. If you're doubting the Democratic Party's theory of silence, I'm sorry. But this is what the Democratic Party is dealing with: racial loyalty, racial debt, and “quiet Democrats.” Good luck.
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In other news
Republicans are likely to flip five key House seats.
Written by Rebekah Zeljko
On the other hand, the Republican majority The field is becoming increasingly narrow, and there are currently five blue seats that could help Republicans hold onto the House.
The Democratic House seats of Mary Peltola of Alaska, Yadira Carabeo of Colorado, Elissa Slotkin of Michigan, Marie Grusenkamp Perez of Washington and Jared Golden of Maine were all secured. . ranked As a toss-up by Cook Political Report.
In 2022, Mr. Peltola will become Alaska's only congressional seat for the first time in more than half a century after the state adopted a ranked-choice voting system that allows voters to rank their preferred candidates instead of the usual binary choice. He was the first Democratic candidate to be elected. The basic system of the party. As a result, Republican candidate Nick Begich and former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin Split The Republican vote allows Peltola to turn the seat blue for the first time. Since then 1970.
Despite the ranked selection system, Mr. Peltola faces a challenge from just one Republican candidate, Nick Begich, after Nancy Dahlstrom dropped out to solidify the Republican vote. Combined with Alaska surely Red voting history, recent public opinion poll Opposition from the National Republican Congressional Committee put Peltola at an electoral disadvantage.
Peltora too Featured He is on the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's list of “frontline members”, which is made up of the most competitive blue seats.
Mr. Carabeo, who like Mr. Peltola is on the front lines, is also at risk of being re-elected by a Republican challenger. One September poll had the Colorado Democrat with a narrow 3-point lead, but recent polls from early October have her trailing. dead heat with Republican challenger Gabe Evans. Colorado's 8th Congressional District is also split evenly between Republicans and Democrats, according to the Cook Political Report.
Caraveo won In 2022, her seat was separated by less than 1 percentage point from Republican candidate Barbara Kirkmeyer.
Since Slotkin chose to run for the Senate, Democratic candidate Curtis Hertel and Republican candidate Tom Barrett have been in a head-to-head battle for the seat. slotkin turned over In 2022, long-time red seats will turn blue, and +2 Republican districts could have a layup. Vote too trend Barrett beat Hertel by 4 to 6 points among Republicans.
slotkin safe Her seat in Michigan's 7th Congressional District in 2022 is a 5.4-point margin.
Perez is also on the DCCC's Vulnerable Frontline Workers list and will face Republican candidate Joe Kent for the second time. It's Perez managed She is currently planning to change seats in 2022. vote Even dead against Kent in a +5 Republican district, the red streak could be back in Washington's 3rd Congressional District.
Mr. Perez is refrained From supporting Vice President Kamala Harris over former President Donald Trump, lost After the retirement of former Republican Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler, Kent State's ranking in 2022 is less than 1 percentage point apart.
Golden, who has represented the Maine House district for three consecutive terms, also faces a close race against Republican candidate Austin Theriault. Mr. Golden won the seat by a 1% margin, despite it being a +6 Republican district. 2018 and just over 6% 2020 and 2022.
Despite his historical electoral advantage, recent polls show Golden with a 3-point lead. deficit against Theriault.
