CNN data reporter Harry Enten told the network's viewers on October 30 that there were signs that President-elect Donald Trump could win the election, saying at the time, “I can't believe I wasn't warned.'' I can't say that.''
Trump defeated Vice President Kamala Harris in the early morning hours of November 6, securing the 270 electoral votes needed to become president. In a pre-election broadcast, Enten warned viewers there appeared to be several paths to No. 270 for Trump, claiming there were “indications” that the then-Republican candidate was likely to win. . (Related: 'Two thumbs up': CNN's Harry Enten says 'Americans are in love' with President Trump's transition moves)
August 13: Enten tells CNN viewers that President Trump is “very passionate about this ball game.”
With less than a week to go until the Democratic National Convention, this comes despite polls showing Harris surging after President Joe Biden announced on July 21 that he would not seek re-election. Mr. Enten told CNN viewers that Mr. Harris' supporters should not “pop the champagne.”
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CNN's Harry Enten warns Harris fans not to 'open bottles of champagne' yet as President Trump is 'very interested in this ballgame' pic.twitter.com/U8XbduhEAf
— Daily Caller (@DailyCaller) August 13, 2024
“In 2016, the average polls in the states I mentioned, the Great Lakes swing states, had President Trump underrated by an average of nine points at this point in 2016,” Enten said, co-hosting CNN News Central. Ms. Sarah Sydnor explained to me. “What about 2020? It wasn't a one-off, look at this. He was underrated by an average of 5 points. And of course, Kamala in the New York Times-Siena College poll. Harris' lead was 4 points in each of these key battleground states: Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
“If you're a Kamala Harris fan and you want to tear open a champagne bottle and pull the cork, don't do it,” Enten later added. “Donald Trump is very enthusiastic about this campaign.”
In 2024, Trump won Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, just as he did in 2016.
September 24: Enten notes that Kamala Harris' support among certain demographics is lower than Biden's in 2020
Two weeks after the Sept. 10 debate between Trump and Harris, Enten detailed to viewers how Trump was gaining support from both Hispanic and black voters in the polls. did.
“Look, Kamala Harris is up 66 points among black voters. That's an increase over Joe Biden's standing earlier this year, and yes, when he withdrew from the race, he was up 66 points among black voters. -He had a 51-point lead over Trump, but this 66-point lead was much lower than the 80-point lead Joe Biden had over Donald Trump at this point in the 2020 cycle. . That's 14 points lower,” Enten told “CNN News Central” co-host Kate Bolduan.
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“Kamala Harris has a 15-point lead, which is certainly significantly better than when Joe Biden had a 7-point advantage just a few months ago. But look again. , this 15-point advantage for Harris is significantly smaller than what Joe Biden had at this time four years ago,” Enten said of Hispanic voters.
Trump will win 46% of the Hispanic vote in 2024 According to CNN exit poll. In 2020, Trump won just 32% of Hispanic voters, CNN reported. exit poll showed.
October 14: Enten says that Harris is lagging behind Biden and Clinton in the Rust Belt.
This comes less than two weeks after the October 1st debate between the vice presidential candidates of each party, Republican Sen. J.D. Vance (Ohio) and Democratic Governor Tim Walz (Minnesota). , Enten noted that Harris' performance was below that of President Joe Biden and the former secretary of state. Hillary Clinton in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin;
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“In all my years covering politics, I have never seen polls so consistently close across swing states,” Enten said.
“I think that's what's stirring Democrats up, because it looks like Harris has a slight lead, but within the margin of error, compared to four years ago and eight years ago. , right now it's Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin,' the average of all three,'' Enten told CNN host Jake Tapper. “Right now, Harris is ahead of the three-state average by one point, Joe Biden is ahead by eight points, and Hillary Clinton is ahead by eight points. Hillary Clinton loses in all three states. Needless to say, Joe Biden narrowly won all three of these states.
Harris will maintain a lead in Wisconsin and Michigan in Real Clear Polling averageHowever, neither lead exceeded 0.5%, with Trump leading in Pennsylvania.
October 17: Enten outlines President Trump's 'very strong position' in Wisconsin
Three days after pointing out that Harris' performance was lagging in Rust Belt battleground states, Enten discussed how Trump was in a “very strong position” to win Wisconsin. .
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“One of the things I'm really wondering about is whether this poll is actually going to be a good thing. Going into 2020, the final poll in Wisconsin had Biden up by 8 points. Because there are,” Enten said. said Mr. Tapper. “The actual result was a one-point lead for Biden. Just to note, I rounded that number up, so I think it was 0.63 percentage points.”The problem is, are the polls actually being conducted? Is that what it is? [going to] Am I right this time or [going to]Are you underestimating Donald Trump again? If so, Donald Trump would be in a very strong position in the Badger State. ”
Trump would win Wisconsin by less than 1 percentage point in the 2024 election.
October 25: Enten says President Trump has a chance of winning the popular vote.
Eleven days before the election, Mr. Enten appeared on “CNN News Central” and outlined polling data showing Mr. Trump leading in the popular vote.
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“The current average poll has Harris up by one point, but within the margin of error. If you go back four years, Joe Biden had a wide lead over Donald Trump in the national popular vote,” Enten said. he said. “He was up by 9 o’clock. Even Hillary Clinton was up by 6 points, so Donald Trump is really in an unprecedented position at this point in the campaign to be able to truly compete and really say that the popular vote is too close to call at this point. . phone. “
Trump ultimately won the popular vote in 2024, leading Harris in the popular vote by 1.6 percentage points as of Friday. According to to Reuters.
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