The Post's Erich Richter shares his picks and predictions for Week 14 of the NFL season..
Sunday
Falcons +5.5 vs. Vikings
Kirk Cousins is playing the worst football of his career and returned home with a not-so-friendly face.
This line got a little crazy last week after Cousins threw four interceptions and eliminated the Falcons, but let's not take away from the fact that the Vikings have failed to cover in three of the past four games. I want it.
Giants +4.5 vs. Saints
In fact, Drew Lock is the best quarterback on the Giants' roster, and the Giants are trying to stay competitive to protect Brian Daboll's job.
Indeed, Malik Nabors' situation appears to be uncertain until game time on Sunday.
Still, Big Blue ranks 13th in defense according to Pro Football Focus, and the Saints will be without Taysom Hill for the rest of the season, severely hampering their run game.
There is a possibility that the Giants will win outright.
Jaguars vs. Titans +3.5
This is going to be a big deal as the Titans play the Jaguars on Sunday.
Mac Jones vs. Will Levis is a matchup of quarterbacks ranked 41st vs. 38th in the NFL.
In fact, Jacksonville has been playing well lately, going 7-6 against the spread while the Titans are 2-10.
oh yeah. Tennessee shouldn't have an advantage over anyone.
Buccaneers -6.5 vs. Raiders
There are no moral victories here. Unlike the Chiefs' rotten offensive line, Tampa Bay can run the ball.
Don't think for a second that Bucky Irving won't punish the Raiders' poor run defense.
According to PFF, the Buccaneers have a top-10 run blocking offense.
They went through the throats of Las Vegas for the win.
Steelers -6.5 vs. Browns
Pittsburgh continues to impress while Jameis Winston throws the ball to the opposing team.
According to For the Numbers (FTN), the Steelers are allowing just 41.9 percent of their deep passes, which is the 20th-best defensive mark in the league.
We know that Winston isn't good at the short passing game, so we're hoping for a disappointing performance against a strong Steelers team that doesn't make many mistakes.
Eagles -12.5 vs. Panthers
Bryce Young turned things around in a big way for the Panthers, but don't buy fools' money.
Even with Young developing, the Eagles' defense is one of the best in the NFL, and their secondary is too good for the Panthers to believe in.
Saquon Barkley rushed for 200 yards and two touchdowns as the Eagles defeated Carolina.
Dolphins -6 vs. Jets
The Jets are in disarray and are missing most of their playmakers.
Even being a six-point deficit is giving too much respect to a run defense that ranks 23rd in the league in DVOA.
Gang Green will be without Sauce Gardner, Breece Hall and CJ Mosley.
This situation will only get worse as the Jets cram into the winter.
Cardinals +2.5 vs. Seahawks
The Seahawks have had the worst rushing offense in the NFL over the past seven weeks.
His 3.4 yards per carry is tied for last in the league with the Raiders and Browns.
The basic stats favor the Cardinals here, and the last time these two teams met, Arizona threw a pick-six that completely flipped the game.
Invoice against RAMS -3.5
The Rams would be an interesting bet here if Matthew Stafford doesn't have a sprained ankle.
Health concerns are hard to overcome, but Josh Allen has earned a big spot indoors to showcase his skills against below-average defenses.
With these numbers, Los Angeles isn't worth betting on this weekend. Allen has 21 touchdowns (seven rushing) and six interceptions in games played at the Dome, posting a 7-0 record with a passer rating of 106.7.
Backing up the Bills, Allen's MVP showcase.
Bears +4 over 49ERS
Will there be a new coach's backing or will the Bears win?
The 49ers have a slew of health issues of their own, but they're certainly taking a beating as offensive weapons D'Andre Swift and DJ Moore are questionable to play.
Nick Bosa and Trent Williams are likely considering playing on the outside this week as well.
Christian McCaffrey is also obviously out.
Chicago gets the boost it needs and will come away with a clean win on Sunday.
Charger +4 against CHIEFS
How can they play the Chiefs against the spread at this point?
Kansas City getting four points is sneaky considering Los Angeles is ranked 8th in DVOA while Kansas City is ranked 11th.
Do you want to bet on the NFL?
The Chargers have unleashed Justin Herbert as a running threat, which should help protect them if Ladd McConkie is out.
Kansas City has the 27th-ranked defense since corner Jalen Watson went down.
Monday
Bengals -5.5 vs. Cowboys
The Bengals have never been a fun team to play against the spread, but this team should eventually outscore their opponents and be a place to forget.
According to PFF, Cooper Rush vs. Joe Burrow is the biggest possible mismatch.
Burrow is the No. 1 quarterback, but his rush is rated 42nd, the worst in the NFL. Back up the Bengals and win big.
last week: 10-2
season: 86-92-1
