If you're a wildcard contender this Sunday and are looking for a bigger edge, or perhaps a longshot prop, you're in the right place.
There should be plenty of betting wins this weekend with three player prop games.
It starts with Sunday's Broncos vs. Bills and continues through the Buccaneers vs. Commanders showdown.
Typically, the bet on a particular prop will be 1 unit on the side (up to -120), or 1/2 unit for a low-probability bet this weekend.
Don't risk more than two units against a particular player.
Wildcard Weekend Player Props
Broncos vs. Bills picks
Josh Allen, 40.5+ rushing yards (-120, BetMGM) | All-time touchdown scorer (-125, DraftKings) | 12+ rushing attempts (+550, Hard Rock Sportsbook)
It's expected to be a competitive game this weekend, so I'd like to see Josh Allen make a big splash.
The Bills' defense ranks 27th in the NFL in yards per pass attempt to end the season, making it all the more important that Allen use his feet to be productive on Sunday.
In last season's playoffs, Allen ran for 72 and 74 yards and a touchdown in two games, with 12 rushing attempts and eight rushing attempts, respectively.
We love when quarterbacks rush props in the playoffs. This won't be the last time you bet this weekend.
Audric Estim 21.5+ (-110, Fanatics Sportsbook) | All-Time Touchdown Scorer (+370, DraftKings) | 2+ Touchdowns (50/1, BetRivers)
Rookie Audric Estim has been quietly receiving attention at running back from coach Sean Payton.
He has had three straight weeks with at least nine carries, scoring touchdowns on two of those three, and has the most red zone carries of any player on the team in that span. It has become.
Estime has an increased workload in Denver, so you can safely bet the over on him. He went 2-of-3 on long-shot rushing props, with three straight attempts of more than 21.5 yards.
Estime is the preferred option in situations where no passing is required and the yards are short.
Eagles vs Packers picks
Josh Jacobs, less than 22.5 receiving yards (-110, Caesars Sportsbook)
This line is a little confusing because Josh Jacobs has never been a big receiving threat out of the backfield.
His role in the passing game also seems to have stalled in September and October, as he had several games with zero receptions.
Emmanuel Wilson is getting more work with the Packers, as is Chris Brooks.
His passing role is a bit overstated at this point in the season, as Green Bay has a lot of mouths and too many zero-catch games this year.
Jordan Love over 1.5 rushing attempts (-114, FanDuel)
As far as I can tell, sportsbooks are underestimating a quarterback's willingness to play in the playoffs.
Jordan Love hasn't had this prop in four games, but he ran it five times in last year's loss to the 49ers.
This will be very close, I hope Love doesn't hesitate to run this weekend.
Buccaneers vs. Commanders picks
Jaden Daniels, 48.5+ rushing yards (-130, BetMGM) | 80+ (+420, FanDuel)
The Washington Commanders' roadmap to victory centers on star quarterback Jaden Daniels, who missed most of last week's game against the Cowboys.
Daniels has been hit hard this season by getting hit badly while scrambling.
He will eventually need to call it quits if he wants to continue his NFL career and avoid falling out of the league.
For now, we'll bet on his run total and target his desire to run.
He has cleared 48.5 rushing yards in four of the last five games he has played to the end, and has cleared the top half of this ladder for the second straight game.
The last time Daniels played against the Buccaneers in his NFL debut, he gained 88 yards on 16 attempts.
He hits a lunging prop from Daniels.
Do you want to bet on the NFL?
Baker Mayfield, 3.5+ rushing attempts (-110, ESPN BET)
His yardage prop is a little too high for my liking, but his attempt is worth it.
The Buccaneers' star quarterback ran wild last week in a near loss to the woeful Buccaneers, but he should be ready to power through again Sunday night.
His nine carries for 68 yards is a season high and I expect him to do that again this season. Remember, a kneel counts if the Buccaneers take a knee at the half or are late in victory formation.
Why trust New York Post Betting?
Erich Richter is a blue belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu but has a black belt in mixed martial arts gambling. During football season, he proved to be a huge moneymaker for the Post in the player prop market the past two seasons. Always betting on the long shot, the return on investment from 2022 onwards is 30.15%.
