Post's Erich Richter has chosen it for the Super Bowl 2025.
Sunday
Eagles Chief (-1.5)
Statistically, it is not often pointing to this chief's favorite.
In fact, they probably shouldn't be here. But that happens when you employ a team of authentic finishers who use the best quarterbacks in the NFL and don't make any mistakes later in the game.
Kansas City is 7-0 in the playoff game with a sub-field goal spread where Mahomes is at the centre.
Sharp money, or whale bets, or you want to distinguish – is in the Eagles who enter the weekend.
On Wednesday, Adrian Horton, director of North American trade at ESPN BET, told me that everyone was betting on the Eagles mid-week.
Nevertheless, he added that they are hoping that Chiefs money will come before Sunday's game.
The most difficult part of this game for the Eagles is whether they land on the third down and whether Steve Spagururo's defense will be defeated in such a situation.
The Chiefs' run defense is generally considered strong despite struggling with James Cook and the Conference Championship bill. Can they rediscover that form?
During the season, the Chiefs were second in the league in preventing second-level yards in the league with opposing running backs to prevent open field yards, according to FTN's Aaron Schatz.
This is where you talk about Saquon Barkley, perhaps the best running in the NFL, and ripping freely for a long time.
One of the statistics I want to point out is that the Eagles had a generous schedule for this year's execution.
This isn't to disqualify what Berkley accomplished this year, but 75% of his rushing yards were against bottom 10 run defense.
In 2019, the Chiefs ranked seventh, allowing just 4.2 yards per carry this season. So the real question is whether they can hold back Berkley at all, tall tasks.
The Eagles' offensive line is phenomenal, but I trust Spagnuolo. It's hard to believe that their running defense has regressed to the level they've seen recently. They are all healthier than the season.
Frankly, I think the Eagles are getting extra love here after smashing the commander at the conference championships.
Look for the Chief who will pull away with a late touchdown in a very competitive game. It hasn't been blown away this weekend.
Chief suguere under 48.5
Looking at the total, there are two strong defenses. The Eagles ranked 1st in DVOA, while the Chief was ranked 11th.
Plus, the Eagles love to drain their opponent's watch. I tend to be slimmer and downwards in margins, and my betting model projects a 1% small edge under 48.5.
Do you want to bet on the NFL?
My predicted score for the game is 25-22 chiefs, resulting in under. For those who want to bet on an accurate score, the chief to win on that score is 500/1 at Fundael.
When betting on the big game, the total was a true coin flip. The Super Bowl over is 29-28.
We bet this year we will be moving to 29-29 in a hotly contested matchup.
Chiefs 25, Eagles 22.
Championship Week: 1-1
season: 119-137-3.
