Alex “Poatan” Pereira is facing Russian wrestling Savant Ankaraev at UFC 313 on Saturday, so it's priced at Pickm.
If that line holds, it will be his lowest price since 2023 when he closed at -108 odds against Jiripro Chazuka.
He has not been in the match as a loser since defeating Israel Adesanya in November 2022 with +170 odds.
The main event of UFC 313 is not everything we have to look forward to, but we will bet on 12 fights.
Last week we dominated the top field by nailing four underdog bets and earning 5.15 units.
The 5-3 show has been raising the profitability division ladders, but this year, it has missed profitability with just one card so far.
The total record this year is between 25 and 29, but it targets Plus Money long shot stakes.
This year, we won 12.4 units with a return on investment of 22.96.
The Good Times hopes to continue rolling as they move to UFC 313.
UFC 313 Prediction
Alex Pereira vs. Magamed Ankaraev
It's a very binary battle in light heavyweights, as Pereira is probably the best-impressive in UFC history and undoubtedly the most impressive in the light heavyweight division.
If Pereira leads to Ankaraev's jaw, you're probably seeing the intimidating Brazilian knockout victory.
Now Pereira's takedown defense is not good and definitely bad.
But no one could have done his job in the UFC because of his consistent time.
Meanwhile, Ankaraev was handed over for this chance to fight for the title with the biggest UFC stars due to the lack of excitement and urgency in the grappling division.
Ankalaev said he would not be working on this fight and betrayed him by telling Pereira that he needed to work on it for 25 minutes.
It is impossible to trust Russia's willingness for 25 minutes.
He was submitted with just one second remaining in his fight with Paul Craig and made too many mistakes.
Bet on the intimidating Pereira and win this with a knockout.
Pick: Pereira by KO/TKO (+150, Fanatics Sportsbook)
Justin Göche vs Raphael Fiziev
Justin Gesche is a legend. He has been fighting wars every time since 2011.
But at some point, the buildup of damage must show his performance face.
“Highlights” are out of the worst knockout loss of his career, excavated with the right hook from Max Holloway's oblivion.
It could be the end of the line for fighters who are historically damaged and are good at delivering more than their opponents have negotiated.
Get Lowdown with the best USA Sports Betting Sites and Apps
These two fighters have fought in the past, and Rafael Fiziev was caught up in that fight as a massive -225 favorite, losing the decision to split.
He looked much faster than Gaethje in the first round, exhausted the second and lost a minority decision.
Gaethje thrusts him into his eyes, which is a consistent issue in the UFC.
Fiziev is more reliable at this point in his career, even for a short period of time.
Based on what we saw in our first battle in 2023, Fiziev is the one who targets what should be a great co-main event.
Pick: Physief Money Line (-162, Caesar)
UFC 313 full card pick (main and spare)
- Alex Pereira (-115) vs. Magomed Ankalaev: Pereira (+150, by Ko/TKO Fanatics Sportsbook))
- Justin Geshe (+136) vs. Raphael Fiziev: Fiziev ML (-162, Caesars))
- Jalin Turner (+110) vs. Ignacio Bahamondes: The fight won't start round two (-110, bet365)
- Amandaremos (+120) vs. Iasmin Rusind: Lemos Money Line (+120, DraftKings)
- King Green (+350) vs. Mauriciolafi: Ruffy by KO/TKO (+105, Bet365)
- Curtis Blaydes (-325) vs. Rizvan Kuniev: Fight Goes The Distance (+138, Betrivers)
- Joshua Van (-180) vs. rei tsuruya: rei tsuruya ml (+165, Caesars)
- Brunno Ferreira (+120) vs. Armen Petrosyan: Petrosyan by decision (+270, ESPN BET)
- Alex Morono (+550) vs. Carlos Leal: Leal ATS -7.5 (-185, Draftkings) -> bet wins, Leal wins on the finish, or the decision difference is more than 7 points. (Examples: 30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
- Mairon Santos (-300) vs. Francis Marshall: Fight Goes The Distance (-150, Betrivers)
- Chris Gutierrez (+100) vs. John Castaneda: Castaneda by decision
- Djorden Santos (-195) vs. Ozzy Diaz: Santos ML + Fight Starts Round 2 (-102, Fanduel)
Why trust New York Post Beds?
Erich Richter is a blue belt from Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, but he has a black belt for his MMA betting. During the football season, he has shown off massive profits in Player Prop Market posts over the past two seasons. While always betting on long shots, his return on investment is 30.15% since 2022.
