Polls suggest that if Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-NY) races to become New York’s next governor, she will not only take command of the Republican primary, but will also approach defeating Gov. Kathy Hochul (D-ny).
A Greyhouse poll conducted between April 22-24, 2025, which surveyed 826 registered voters in New York found that if the Governor of New York’s next Republican primary was held today, 44% of voters would support Stefanik and 7% would support Rep. Mike Lawler (R-NY).
Nassau County executive Bruce Blakeman received 5% of support, but another 44% said they “don’t know” who they’ll vote for.
“Stefanic has a clear advantage in image among Republican voters, with a net favor of +47 (56%, 9% at a disadvantage,” the poll said.
Stefanik has a clear advantage in image among Republican voters, with a net favor of +47 (56% favorable, 9% favorable). She also maintains a positive favor of +10 for independents compared to +2 on Roller and -1 on Blakeman.
In an interview with Fox Business Morning with Maria,roller I said Cheryl Cathon will make his decision to run for governor of New York “by June.”
“I will make my decision based on whether I believe there is a path to winning,” explained Lawler. “That’s not decided by anyone else. Ultimately, we decide who can make the best case for the New Yorker and defeat Kathy Hockle.
Polls found that 61% of voters said it was “time for new people,” and 18% of registered voters said they were “probably re-election.” Nine percent of voters said they would “definitely re-elect” Hochul, while 12% said they didn’t know.
When asked who would vote if the 2026 New York gubernatorial election was held today against Hochul and Stefanik, 40% of voters said they supported Republican candidates, while 46% said they supported Hochul. 14% said they didn’t know who they would vote for.
In the matchup between Hochul and Lawler, 38% of voters said they would vote for Republican candidates, while 45% said they would vote for Hochul. 18% said they didn’t know.
In the matchup between Blakeman and Hochul, 36% of voters said they would vote for Republican candidates, while 44% said they would vote for Hochul. Twenty percent of voters said they had not made a decision.
Hochul’s “netjob approval rating” was described as “all -18 deep underwater,” with 36% of voters approved and 55% disapproved.
The results of the polls came as a Siena University poll conducted between April 14th and 16th, 2025, surveying 802 registered voters in New York. Found According to Spectrum News, Hochul’s favor ratings were 44-43%, up from “40-50” percent in March.
NBC News previously reported that “two sources” I said The outlet where Stefanik, whom Trump first appointed to serve as UN ambassador, was considering running for the New York governor.
“One source said Stefanik is seriously considering the run after receiving encouragement from New York Republicans, Trump’s members and GOP donors,” NBC News reported.
