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Gold Prices Rise Amid Tensions and Congressional Struggles

  • Gold prices surge as Israel considers striking Iran’s nuclear sites.
  • President Trump at odds with Republicans over his fiscal plan in Congress.
  • Gold experiences a shift from its previous stability, suggesting potential gains.

Gold (XAU/USD) was seen trading around $3,310 on Wednesday, with rising concerns about escalating tensions in the Middle East and uncertainty surrounding Trump’s fiscal proposal in Congress. A delay in market trading on Tuesday led to reports, including one from CNN, indicating that Israel might be targeting Iran’s nuclear installations. While former President Joe Biden managed to persuade Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, President Trump’s diplomatic efforts seem to be faltering, leading to speculation about his influence over Netanyahu.

In the United States, Trump not only faces challenges at home but is also struggling to secure enough backing for tax legislation in Congress. There’s growing frustration among lawmakers who are advocating for a substantial increase in the state and local tax (SALT) deduction.

Market Movements: Iran and Political Dynamics

  • CNN indicates that it remains unclear whether Israeli leaders have definitively chosen targets within Iran’s nuclear program. Intelligence leaks from various officials have complicated their communications and military movements, according to the report.
  • The prospect of an Israeli strike on Iran bolstered gold’s safe-haven status. However, it’s still uncertain if a concrete decision on the attack has been reached. Markets will be on the lookout for confirmations from US or Israeli officials.
  • Amid discussions between Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin, the Vatican suggested postponing events related to peace talks over the Ukraine-Russia situation.
  • According to the Financial Times, US lawmakers are urging Northern Ireland to approve gold mining projects that could inject significant capital into the local economy, warning that delays could jeopardize foreign investment.

Gold Price Technical Analysis: Potential for Weekly Gains

With recent developments in the Middle East and the stalled congressional negotiations, President Trump’s credibility—and by extension, the US dollar—appears to be at risk. Gold stands to benefit from this uncertainty and may rise above $3,350 if Israel confirms its intentions.

The resistance level of $3,324 aligns with a high observed on May 12, suggesting that it could pave the way for movements towards $3,431 instead of the higher resistance at $3,354.

On the downside, there is a significant support level for gold prices. Currently, the daily pivot stands at $3,263, followed by another important technical level at $3,245, and the immediate support at $3,231.

XAU/USD: Daily chart

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