A Trump Conviction Would Not Result in More Votes for Biden

May 4, 2024

Leger’s recent research found that President Joe Biden would not receive more votes if former President Donald Trump was convicted.

investigation found In the matchup, Mr. Trump led Mr. Biden by 1 point, with 46% of the vote and 45% for Mr. Biden. The remaining 9% of him are still unsure. The survey also asked respondents how they would vote if President Trump were convicted of any of the charges, and although Biden lost the lead, Biden actually trailed Trump. of voters. Rather, it simply moves to undetermined.

When asked who they would support if Trump were convicted and imprisoned, Trump’s approval rating dropped to 37%, but Biden’s number remained consistent at 45%, as in his original matchup. are doing. But now, in that scenario, 18% say they don’t know or would vote for someone else.

When asked if Trump were convicted and not jailed, 39% said they would support him. In fact, Biden’s approval rating has fallen to 44%, with 18% remaining undecided.

If Trump is not found guilty, he will lead Biden by 2 percentage points compared to Biden’s 46 percent. In that scenario, 10% remain undecided.

In other words, I don’t think Biden’s approval rating will increase even if President Trump is convicted.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s participation in the race continues to boost Trump, and in a matchup that includes third-party candidates, Trump leads Biden by 3 points, 41% to 38%. are doing. RFK Jr. has a 7% approval rating, followed by Jill Stein at 2% and Cornel West at 1%. Additionally, 11% do not know who to support.

The survey was conducted April 26-28 among 1,008 U.S. adults. There is a margin of error of +/- 3.09%.

This coincides with the release of a Harvard-Harris poll that similarly revealed that the various lawsuits against Trump did not favor Biden.

Breitbart News reported:

If Trump is found guilty by a jury of charges “related to his handling of classified presidential documents,” voters would be split 50-50 between Trump and Biden. He is also consistently split 50-50 among independents.

If Trump is found guilty by a RICO jury of “attempting to influence the outcome of the 2020 election in Georgia,” voters will once again be split 50-50 between Trump and Biden. become. Among independents, 51% support Biden and 49% support Trump.

And finally, if Trump were found guilty by a jury of inciting the January 6th Capitol riot, voters would lean 52% against Trump and 48% against Biden. Independents also side with Trump in this scenario by a 55% doubt figure to Biden’s 45%.

Here are the interactive voting numbers:

🇺🇲 2024 GE: “If President Trump is convicted of a crime related to his handling of classified presidential documents.”

Biden 50%
Trump 50%
—
“If Trump is convicted of RICO charges for trying to influence Georgia’s 2020 election results.”

Biden 50%
Trump 50%
—
“If Trump… https://t.co/Voxor8cGwF pic.twitter.com/njIj6YNHCW

— Interactive Polls (@IAPolls2022) April 29, 2024