The NASCAR Cup Series visits Kansas Speedway this weekend for the AdventHealth 400. You can watch the game on Sunday at 3pm ET on FS1.
Denny Hamlin won last spring’s race in a thrilling final lap battle with Kyle Larson. Hamlin won last week’s race at Dover, with Larson second.
In recent years, Kansas has become one of the most exciting races of the season. We’re sure to see even more thrilling battles this year.
How should you bet on AdventHealth 400? Check out my favorite prop bets below.
NASCAR Cup Series: Best odds to win the AdventHealth 400
| driver | winner | Top 3 odds | Top 5 odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | +380 | +110 | -200 |
| Denny Hamlin | +400 | +115 | -190 |
| tyler reddick | +600 | +175 | -135 |
| William Byron | +700 | +200 | -110 |
| martin truex jr. | +750 | +200 | -105 |
AdventHealth 400 Prop Bet
Driver Matchup: Bubba Wallace vs. Chase Elliott (+105, draft kings)
Bubba Wallace is a driver who finishes between 10th and 15th most weeks, but could be a top-five contender in Kansas.
Wallace was an extraordinary talent on the track in the Next Generation era. He has three top-10 finishes there, including a win in the fall 2022 race. His only bad result came after he crashed into the wall while running second in last fall’s race.
Chase Elliott should be a candidate, but I’m putting him a little below Wallace. Elliott has not finished in the top five at Kansas since finishing second in the fall 2021 race.
It will probably be a close race between Wallace and Elliott. But Wallace’s value is too good to ignore.
Noah Gragson wins Group C (+300, caesars)
Before the season, there was no way I would have picked Noah Gragson to finish ahead of Joey Logano, Brad Keselowski and Chris Buescher. The season begins with 11 races and I’m rooting for Gragson to beat the two past champions.
Gragson surprised everyone by finishing in the top five at Las Vegas in March. He was top 15 fast in last spring’s race before he hit the wall.
It’s been a while since Logano was top-10 fast on a fast 1.5-mile track. Keselowski and Buescher were strong in 2023, but not great in Las Vegas or Texas.
Gragson is the biggest player in this group. I’m not sure if I should make him the favorite, but the odds should be better than +300.
Top Chevrolet: William Byron (+300, bet365)
William Byron had great results on the high-speed 1.5-mile track in the Next Generation era. He won in Las Vegas and Texas last year and finished third in Texas this year.
Kansas has been tough for Byron, starting 12 games and finishing in the top five just twice. Still, he has the second-best chance to lead the Chevrolet group, and I like his chances Sunday.
From an odds standpoint, this is a fight between Kyle Larson, Byron, and Elliott. Larson should have the speed to win races, but I’ve often seen Byron perform better in the second half of races. He said Elliott wasn’t great, no matter how good he was at Kansas State.
It will be a tough battle with Larson, but Byron’s +300 odds look good for a top Chevrolet.
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Winning car number less than 11.5 (+110, caesars)
The winning car number is in the minority, but the key number is 11.5. That means Denny Hamlin, who won four championships at the University of Kansas, will also be included.
Hamlin has been a winning driver this season, with three wins and 535 laps led. He has five consecutive top-five finishes at the University of Kansas.
His biggest challenger is Larson and the No. 5 team. The 2021 Kansas state champion has finished eighth or better in five consecutive Kansas races. He also won at Las Vegas’ 1.5-mile high-speed track this season.
Hamlin and Larson are the drivers to watch, but Ross Chastain, Brad Keselowski, Kyle Busch, Chase Elliott and Noah Gragson could be in contention.
