A month ago, it appeared that Carlos Alcaraz had YIPS.
The Spaniard just lost to David Goffin at the Miami Masters, and his second loss in his second match after falling to Jack Draper in the Indian Wells semi-finals.
It was stretch to say Alcaraz, who won 13 of his first 15 games in 2025, was struggling, but he sways his tongue any form of blip.
Alcaraz can silence critics by defeating Lorenzomsetti in Sunday's final at the Monte Carlo Masters.
Alcaraz is a favorite of -400 to lift trophies.
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Alcaraz vs. Musetti Betting Preview
Alcaraz's return to form is certainly a big story ahead of Sunday's final, but it's his opponents who are worth noting in the final.
Musetti's season started relatively late. The Italian was expelled in round three of the Australian Open and barely played during the golden swing due to injury. He didn't make any noise either in Indian Wells or Miami.
However, Musetti found his shape in Monte Carlo.
World No. 16 defeated Gili Lehecca, Matteo Berettini, Stefanos Zitzpas and Alex de Minaurus to reach their first final at the Masters 1000 level.
Alcaraz vs. Musetti Pick
Both of these players are under great pressure on Sunday. While Alcaraz is about to get back on track before next month's French Open, this is Musetti's biggest win in his career.
The odds on the money line seem fair to this slope, but the total is worth some.
Musetti's game is in a very good location so it's hard to imagine him not breaking in on Sunday. He needs to provide a rigorous test for Alkaraz at least.
He tossed the fact that Alcaraz dropped a set in two of his four matches and was taken to a tiebreaker in another match, getting the right material to play in games above 20.5.
Pick: Games over 20.5 (betmgm)
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Michael Lubov is a patient and abundant islander fan, but is a long-time for-profit sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters acquire a pool of brackets, find long shots, and learn how to win the market in mainstream and niche sports.
