The Premier League winner for the 2023-24 season will be decided on the final day of the season.
All 10 games this weekend will kick off at 11am on Sunday, with two of the highlights being Arsenal vs. Everton and Manchester City vs. West Ham United.
Arsenal go into the weekend with a two-point lead over City, but the Gunners have the better goal difference and will take the trophy if they beat Everton, and if Manchester City don’t beat the Hammers they will take the trophy. It turns out.
The odds suggest Arsenal and Man City should go about their business (Arsenal expected to win -650, City -1050), but the circumstances seem to have severely inflated these numbers. .
This is a typical “win-win tax.” In fact, I would suggest that both teams are worth fading out in different ways.
I think in Arsenal’s case it’s very easy.
If this game had been played in February instead of on the last weekend of the season, there is no way Everton would have won 16-1.
The Toffees boast a defense that ranks in the top five in terms of expected goals and big scoring chances allowed.
They are difficult to beat and with all the pressure on Arsenal, I don’t think it would be surprising for this game to end in the final stages.
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West Ham could also pose a challenge for City, but the Hammers are hopeless defensively.
So instead of rooting for the Hammers to win, I’ll punt on them to score first.
Program: First goal for Everton (16/1, FanDuel) and West Ham (+425)
