(Nexstar) – Starbucks is already dishing out pumpkin spice lattes, kids are heading back to school, and Halloween decorations are popping up in stores. Soon, we’ll start seeing another sign of fall: the leaves changing colors.
But it turns out that only about half of the states are likely to enjoy vibrant autumn foliage this year, according to Accuweather experts.
Paul Pastelok from Accuweather mentioned that New England and much of the Midwest should experience strong colors this fall. The areas that typically showcase bright foliage have had regular rainfall during spring and summer, which helps with healthy leaf growth. Additionally, cooler nights at the start of autumn can highlight the seasonal shift, leading to those beautiful colors.
Some aspen trees in Colorado, for example, can turn stunning shades. However, early frosts in places like the Dakotas and Minnesota may cut the season short.
North and South Carolina might also see some color, but that largely depends on how the tail end of hurricane season plays out. If strong winds from a tropical storm hit, leaves could end up blown away before they even have a chance to change.
While the Midwest and New England might enjoy the brightest hues, other regions aren’t so lucky. Even areas known for their vibrant foliage, like the Smoky Mountains, may be looking at more muted tones this year.
Pastelok noted that the less colorful outlook for the Appalachian and Smoky Mountains can be attributed to the heavy rains and flooding seen this past spring and summer. There’s also the risk of insect and fungal damage impacting regions in southwestern Pennsylvania, West Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia, and Tennessee.
On the West Coast, the heat, drought, and wildfires contribute to the overall lack of vibrant foliage predicted for fall 2025.
If you start to notice changing colors, don’t wait too long, Pastelok recommended. This year’s peak leaf peeping season might be shorter.
You can check out an interactive map from smokeymountains.com that can help you estimate when the autumn colors will peak in your area. Generally, peak viewing in northern regions usually falls between late September and early October, while the southern parts can stick around until November. Elevation will also affect the timing of leaf changes.
Even if many states expect a dull canopy this year, Accuweather indicates that this year’s forecast is still an improvement compared to 2024.
