Friday's SEC quarter-final between Alabama and Kentucky is a classic strength-strength matchup.
Alabama is the best offense in the country and ranks third in the country due to Kenpom's tuned offensive efficiency indicators.
Kentucky ranks third overall in points per game, and is the seventh most efficient unit in the country, with Kenpom being the country's 7th most efficient.
As you can imagine, bookmakers multiply the astronomical sum for this tilt.
Kentucky vs. Alabama's 179.5 points are not only the highest on the slate on Friday, but also 17 points higher than his next game (Missouri Florida).
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Kentucky vs Alabama Ods
| team | Spread it | Odds | total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky | +7.5 (-115) | +240 | O179.5 (-110) |
| Alabama | -7.5 (-105) | -300 | U179.5 (-110) |
Kentucky vs. Alabama Bet Preview
It was quite a season for the new look. Currently, 12 teams are rock and enter the big dance, with Texas sitting in the bubble.
Two of these locks, Alabama and Kentucky, will try to add them to their resumes on Friday night.
As things stand now, the Crimson Tide looks like a safe bet for the No. 2 seed, but repetition as an SEC champion could change things, especially if Florida or Houston slips down.
This Alabama side's strength is its scoring ability, but Crimson Tide is also one of the best teams in the country.
Alabama wants to engage with the opposite and turn all the games into a back and forth tilt. The tide ranks number one in the country for a adjusted tempo per Kenpom, with an average total property of 78.7 per contest.
Kentucky is playing comfortably at that pace, but the best path to success for the Wildcats is to try and remove the pace from the game.
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Alabama vs. Kentucky Pick
There is no doubt that this total is a bit bulging. It happens when you get two of the best attacks at a country meeting.
The problem with going down the Occam razor route for this is that the margin of the bettor above is thin razor when dealing with this high.
On one stretch or either side of the shooting, slowing things down can completely throw away the scoring pace you need to reach this number.
Pick: Less than 179.5 (-110, betmgm)
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Michael Lubov is a patient and abundant islander fan, but is a long-time for-profit sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters acquire a pool of brackets, find long shots, and learn how to win the market in mainstream and niche sports.
