Democrats hold significant leads in four of this year’s key battleground Senate races, according to a series of reports from The New York Times, Philadelphia Inquirer and Siena College, but President Biden has They say they haven’t received similar good news. The poll will be released early Monday.
The Senate races in Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin are likely to be Democratic incumbents or candidates, and with less than six months left until the November general election, their respective Republican opponents or hypothetical opponents are likely to be candidates. Although he is leading the candidacy, the president is trailing behind the previous president. Mr. Trump is trailing in nearly every battleground state, often by large margins.
In Pennsylvania, incumbent Democratic Sen. Bob Casey leads Republican challenger Dave McCormick 46% to 41%, and in Wisconsin, incumbent Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin leads Republican Eric Hovde 49%. They have a 40% lead.
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Republican Senate candidates (from left: Eric Hovde of Wisconsin, Sam Brown of Nevada, Kari Lake of Arizona, and Dave McCormick of Pennsylvania) (Reuters/Getty Images)
The margins have narrowed in the Arizona and Nevada races, with Democratic candidate Ruben Gallego leading Republican Kali Lake 45% to 41%, and incumbent Democratic Sen. Jacky Rosen leading Republican Sam Brown. They have a 40% to 38% lead. The poll does not include Brown’s primary challenger, Dr. Jeffrey Gunter, the former U.S. ambassador to Iceland, who is expected to pose a tough challenge to the Republican nomination.
Trump leads Biden in nearly every battleground state, including Arizona, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Georgia and Michigan. However, Biden held a 47% to 45% lead in Wisconsin.
Mr. Trump’s lead increased significantly with the addition of independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to the polls. In Arizona, the former president received 42% of the vote, followed by 33% for Biden and 10% for Kennedy; in Nevada, 41% for Trump, 27% for Biden and 12% for Kennedy. .
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Former President Trump, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., President Biden (Getty Images)
In Wisconsin, Trump and Biden were tied at 38% and Kennedy at 9%, while in Pennsylvania, Trump’s lead increased by 4 points to 40% to 36%, with Kennedy at 10%.
In Georgia, Mr. Biden is 39% to 31% and Mr. Kennedy is 9%, and in Michigan, 38% to 36%, with Mr. Kennedy also trailing Mr. Trump by 9%.
Minorities that have traditionally supported Democrats appear to be moving away from Biden and toward either Trump or Kennedy. Hispanic voters in battleground states are split 31% between Biden and Trump, but 14% say they support Kennedy.
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U.S. Senate in Washington, DC on April 7, 2022 (Senate TV, via AP)
Black voters in the state still have a significant advantage in favor of Biden at 49%, but 14% support Trump and 11% support Kennedy.
Just 36% of voters in battleground states approve of Biden’s job as president, while 60% disapprove.
Mr. Trump also outperformed Mr. Biden when it comes to favorability, with 45% saying they view the former president favorably and 53% saying they have an unfavorable view. Only 40% said he viewed Biden favorably, and 59% said he viewed him unfavorably.
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Senate elections in Montana, Ohio, West Virginia, Michigan and Maryland are also seen as opportunities for Republicans in November. Given Democrats’ one-seat lead in the Senate, Republicans only need to win two of the contested seats and hold the remaining seats up for re-election to take control of the chamber.
If Trump wins the White House, Republicans only need to win either race to control the chamber, as the vice president will be the tie-breaking vote.
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