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Bitcoin reaches $111.3K with a forecast suggesting a 10% drop as the most serious outcome.

Bitcoin reaches $111.3K with a forecast suggesting a 10% drop as the most serious outcome.

Bitcoin Shows Signs of Modest Recovery

Key Points:

  • Bitcoin is experiencing a slight uptick as the week closes, yet traders are eyeing significant resistance levels ahead.

  • If the Bulls can’t reclaim their resistance zone, there’s a risk of a sharper decline for BTC.

  • Fibonacci analysis indicates that any downturn may be limited to about 10%.

As the week wrapped up on Sunday, Bitcoin (BTC) climbed back above $111,000, suggesting some encouraging signs of recovery, according to recent analyses.

Potential Bounce Zone Near $100,000

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView indicated that BTC/USD saw a daily increase of roughly 1%, marking a local peak of $111,369.

The latest dip, influenced by macroeconomic data, kept Bulls focused on maintaining $110,000 as a support level.

Michael Van de Poppe, a crypto analyst and trader, noted, “This is actually promising for $BTC.” He added that holding support at this level could lead to a bullish trend if they can surpass $112,000.

“If we can hold support at $110,000, it could set the stage for a bullish run.”

Market participants varied in their short-term outlook for BTC’s price. Another trader, Cipher X, warned that if Bulls fail to reclaim $112,000, a decline to $100,000 might follow.

“BTC is stable around $111,000, yet the structure hints at a possible dip. If momentum fades beneath $112K, a retreat to $100,000 appears likely.”

“We have two options: Either we push past $113,000 for a new peak, or we slide down to $100,000,” said fellow trader Crypto Tony, emphasizing the importance of the weekly trends.

Trader Turbobble Capital mentioned the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs), currently at $115,035 and $101,760, respectively.

“If we drop below the $107K zone, targeting $101,000 becomes realistic, particularly aligning with the MA200.”

What’s Next for Bitcoin?

Cointelegraph highlighted a longer-term theory regarding market makers in exchange order books.

The ongoing debates involve short sellers and Bears, and some speculate that a significant short squeeze might precede a possible market surge, reminiscent of price movements seen in the latter half of 2024.

Currently, Fibonacci levels suggest a potential decline of up to 10%, based on historical trends since last year.

Popular trader Zyn noted, “BTC usually tends to hit the bottom around the 0.382 Fibonacci level, which is likely to be revisited in 2024 and again in early 2025.”

“For those curious about how low we might go, the 0.382 Fibonacci level points to around $100,000. A worst-case scenario could see a 10% decline amid greater rallies above $150,000.”

This article doesn’t offer investment advice, and all trading activities carry risks; individuals should conduct their own research before making decisions.

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