Bitcoin’s gains will be solid but ‘not remarkable’ in the coming ten years: Executive

Bitcoin’s Future Prospects: Insights from Industry Experts

Matt Hogan, the chief investment officer at Bitwise, has expressed his belief that Bitcoin may see steady gains over the next ten years. However, he anticipates that the year-to-year increases likely won’t be substantial.

“I think we’re hoping for returns that might surpass those of the last decade. While it may not be an incredible return, we could expect strong returns with some fluctuations,” Hogan mentioned during a CNBC segment on Friday.

He continues to hold the view that 2026 will be a favorable year for Bitcoin (BTC), a prediction he initially made back in July—prior to Bitcoin hitting its peak of $125,100 in October. “I think that’s where we’re headed next year,” Hogan added.

He noted that “slow-moving institutional investors” are, in a way, helping to cushion Bitcoin’s price declines.

On the other hand, Sebastian Bo, Chief Investment Officer of ReserveOne, pointed out that it remains uncertain whether Bitcoin’s four-year cycle is indeed “dead.” He highlighted that the all-time high was in early October at $125,000, and currently it’s hovering around $87,000—down 30% in a relatively short period, which is rather painful.

Market opinions are split on whether this cycle has ended. The timing of Bitcoin’s October peak resembles that of past four-year cycles, leading some to speculate a decline might happen in 2026.

Hogan remarked that a “fast-moving retail crowd” contributed to the year-end drop in Bitcoin’s value, as retail investors positioned themselves based on expectations for that cycle.

According to CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin’s current trading price stands at $87,818, reflecting a decline of 3.81% over the last month.

Hogan explained that the reason Bitcoin has only dropped 30%—as opposed to the 60% declines seen in previous cycles—can be attributed to “sustained, slow-moving institutional buying.”

Nevertheless, some analysts advise caution. Veteran trader Peter Brandt has recently predicted a potential drop to $60,000 by the third quarter of 2026.

Regarding the Trump administration, Hogan believes it’s unlikely to significantly affect Bitcoin prices. Bitcoin started 2025 at a new all-time high of around $109,000, following Donald Trump’s inauguration as President, which many saw as a trigger for the early-year surge.

However, Hogan noted that there’s little left for the Trump administration to do that could push Bitcoin prices higher, given that the asset’s regulatory standing is becoming clearer. “They can barely impact Bitcoin anymore,” he added.