I waited all season, but now it's the beginning of March's madness.
Louisville will tip off with Clayton at 12:15 PM ET as a just 2.5 points favorite on the Caesars Sportsbook.
Both teams have been defeated in their respective conference championship games, with the Blue Jays losing to St. John's in the Big East final and Louisville losing to Duke in the ACC tournament.
After two days of the first four games, we ended up betting in the actual NCAA tournament contest. Plus, there are exclusive sign-up offers from friends on Caesars Sportsbook.
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Prediction of Clayton vs. Louisville
Louisville won 11 straight games before hitting Duke Buzz Saw in the ACC Finals.
Are they a better team than Clayton?
Do you bet on college basketball?
That's certainly what Kenpom thinks.
According to the university's basketball statistics website, the Cardinals are ranked 23rd in the country, while the Blue Jays are a little lower, ranking 36th.
Clayton has a more effective field goal rating (55.8%), ranked 28th nationwide, slightly higher than Louisville's 82nd place (53.4%).
The Blue Jays also have a slightly better opponent's field goal percentage (48th highest in the country) and appear at 41.21%, while the Cardinals allow the team to shoot 42.48% (97th).
Still, advanced statistics support Louisville despite surface-level data pointing to Clayton.
For me, the game becomes a guard play and Louisville senior guards Chucky Hepburn and Terrence Edwards Jr. are so dangerous that they can't be ignored.
Target your favorites for this No. 9 vs. 9 matchup spread.
Pick: Louisville-2.5 (-110, Caesar Sportsbook)
Do you think the weak are better bets? Go ahead and fade this pick.
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Erich Richter is a blue belt from Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, but he has a black belt for his MMA betting. During the football season, he has shown off massive profits in Player Prop Market posts over the past two seasons. While always betting on long shots, his return on investment is 30.15% since 2022.
