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Can Tom Kim keep it rolling? Rocket Mortgage Classic betting odds, predictions, insight, more

After three consecutive weeks of nonstop action at the Memorial, U.S. Open and Travelers Championship, the PGA Tour heads to the Midwest for the Rocket Mortgage Classic.

Rickie Fowler won a playoff last year against Adam Hadwin and Collin Morikawa, all three finishing at 24 under after the final round. Expect another birdie rush at the Donald Ross-designed Detroit Golf Club, a course that PGA Tour pros seem to attack every year.

Since the tournament began in 2019, the average score of the winner has been 23.2 strokes under par, and only one player, Cameron Davis, has finished 20-under or better. Davis won in a playoff in 2021, finishing at 18-under.

Like TPC River Highlands in Connecticut, this golf course favors ball strikers. However, unlike the course we saw at the Travelers Championship, this course doesn’t have many lateral hazards or penalty areas. Power hitters can blast through the course without hesitation, crisscrossing it and using its length to create better opportunities. That’s why Bryson DeChambeau, Tony Finau and Davis have all won here.

But at the end of the day, this event is all about putting. You have to be able to putt well to putt low scores. Whoever can do that consistently over the four days is going to win in Detroit.

Rickie Fowler, PGA Tour, Rocket Mortgage Classic

Rickie Fowler and his caddie celebrate their victory at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.
Photo: Brian Spurlock/Getty Images

Rocket Mortgage Classic Odds

Current Odds Projections of players to win at Michigan this week, courtesy of DraftKings.

  • Tom Kim +1200
  • Cameron Young +1400
  • Min Woo Lee +2000
  • Akshay Bhatia +2000
  • Will Zalatoris +3000
  • Stefan Jaeger +3000
  • Maverick McNeely +3000
  • Keith Mitchell +3000
  • Alex Noren +3000
  • Taylor Pendris +4000
  • Robert McIntyre +4000
  • Davis Thompson +4000
  • Aaron Lai +4000
  • Rickie Fowler +4500
  • Michael Thorbjornsen +4500
  • Eric van Rooyen +4500
  • Taylor Moore +5000
  • Ryan Fox +5000
  • Chris Kirk +5000
  • Nikolai Hoygard +5000

PGA Tour, Rocket Mortgage Classic

The clubhouse at Detroit Golf Club during the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.
Photo: Cliff Hawkins/Getty Images

Rocket Mortgage Classic Insights, Predictions

Tom Kim continues to shine

Tom Kim arrives in Michigan in his ninth consecutive PGA Tour start after a solid performance at the Travelers Championship, where he narrowly lost in a playoff to world number one Scottie Scheffler.

He also enters as a favorite to win, which is a nice development for a youngster who only recently turned 22. But his odds of winning are low at +1200, which is no surprise. The golf course is not particularly long by tour standards, and Kim doesn’t hit the ball as far as many of the other players. Instead, he relies heavily on his short to mid-irons, a trait that was on full display in Connecticut. He ranked third in strokes gained on approaches at Cromwell.

Of course, there’s no point hitting the ball if you can’t take advantage of birdie opportunities. He’ll have to hole some putts to get another chance, but Kim’s putter worked well last week, ranking him 20th in strokes gained with putter. Sure, he could have taken a few more shots, but overall his game is solid. He hasn’t missed the cut since the Valero Texas Open and has two top-five finishes in the past month.

We’re projecting him at +320 to finish in the top five for the third time this week in Detroit.

Cameron Young bounced back from a slump.

Before Cameron Young’s 4-under 66 in Friday’s second round of the Travelers Championship, he had shot 10 consecutive rounds in the 70s since missing the cut at the RBC Canadian Open. Of those 10 rounds, Young had only shot par or better once, a 72 in the second round at the Memorial.

But something went right in Connecticut. Following a 66 on Friday, Young shot a historic 59 to put himself in contention heading into the final day. He then started Sunday’s round with four straight birdies, leading many to ask if he could shoot sub-60 again for the second day in a row. Unfortunately, that mantra didn’t last long, as he shot another 66 on Sunday.

Cameron Young, PGA Tour, Travelers Championship

Cameron Young will compete in the 2024 Travelers Championship.
Photo: Andy Lyons/Getty Images

Still, Young finished tied for ninth, his best finish since the Masters.

Now he heads to Michigan with confidence as he will be competing in the Rocket Mortgage Classic for the first time since tying for second in 2022. He has the length to hit some explosive shots at the Detroit Golf Club and will look to see his short iron play and wedge game back on display. I project Young to finish in the top five at +360.

A young cancer lurks

Michael Thorbjornsen got a taste of the big stage in his professional debut last week in New England. The former Stanford Cardinal, who earned his PGA Tour card through the PGA Tour Collegiate Rankings, did well in every way. The Wellesley, Massachusetts native shot a 6-under 64 in the second round and a 4-under 66 on the third day to finish tied for 39th.

But we expect him to play better this week. Torbjornsen is brimming with confidence, just like Ludvig Oberg was at this time exactly a year ago. If you recall, Oberg played alongside Ryder Cup captain Luke Donald at last year’s Rocket Mortgage Classic. The young Swede impressed the European captain, with Donald likening him to a young Rory McIlroy. Of course, just a few months later, Donald welcomed Oberg to his team, a testament to his meteoric rise to the world’s top 10.

Of course, this doesn’t mean that Torbjornsen will have the same experience, but he is extremely talented — he can hit the ball a mile and has a good short game — so we believe he will achieve his first top-10 finish as a pro, with odds of +500.

The 2024 Rocket Mortgage Classic Champion is…

In my article on dark horses for the U.S. Open, I named Alex Noren as one of my picks. At the time, he was playing well and had just finished tied for 12th at the PGA Championship. He missed the cut at the RBC Canadian Open first of the year, but bounced back to finish tied for 22nd at the Memorial. So I figured Noren’s keen sense of ball striking would be of great use in Pinehurst No. 2.

I was wrong. Noren couldn’t get going at the U.S. Open and missed the cut, but he hasn’t played anywhere since.

Nolen, currently ninth on the PGA Tour overall strokes gained rankings, will emerge from Michigan well-rested and ready to go. He’s also had strong showings at the Detroit Golf Club, finishing tied for fourth in 2021 and tied for ninth in 2023 with six of his eight rounds in the 60s.

Noren might not make as many birdies, which could hurt his chances this week, but the 41-year-old Swede rarely makes mistakes, which are a much more important factor: He ranks third on the PGA Tour in bogey avoidance and overall scrambling, two factors that come in handy in any golf tournament.

So, I predict Noren to win this week at +3000, as in 2024 Sweden will produce its first ever winner on the PGA Tour.

For more sports betting content, SB Nation’s DraftKings site.

Jack Mirko is a golf staff writer for SB Nation Playing Through. Follow For more golf articles, follow us on Twitter Jack Mirko In the same way.

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