The NFL preseason has wrapped up, and the final roster of 53 players is set. This means fantasy football draft season is in full swing. If you’re drafting in the first round, especially with the first overall pick, the decisions you make could shape your entire roster.
If that’s you, congratulations! And, well… good luck. Your choices will either set you up for success or possibly haunt you right from the start.
Picking first can feel like a double-edged sword. On the one hand, you get the pick of the litter, with a star player waiting to be chosen. On the other hand, if your league has a snake draft format, you may not get to make another selection for quite some time, which can add a lot of pressure to that initial choice.
Some seasoned fantasy players prefer to trade down in the first round to build depth, while others dive in headfirst and take the top player available. If you’re leaning towards the latter, let’s take a look at some notable options for your roster.
Ja’Marr Chase, Cincinnati Bengals
Chase is a consensus top pick across all fantasy formats. It’s hard to argue against it, especially after the phenomenal season he just had. He became just the fifth wide receiver in history to score a triple crown, leading the league with 127 receptions, 1,708 yards, and 17 touchdowns. Plus, he excelled after the catch, setting him apart from his peers.
Given his undeniable talent and the circumstances heading into 2025, it makes sense he’s a favorite for the top pick. With the Bengals’ defense looking shaky this season, the connection between Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase might have to produce big numbers to keep games competitive. Aside from a hip injury back in 2022, he’s been healthy throughout his career, making him a savvy investment for any fantasy manager.
Bijan Robinson, Atlanta Falcons
Robinson’s situation looks promising with a new coaching staff ready to utilize him as a key player. In 2024, he racked up over 1,400 rushing yards and found the end zone 14 times. His carry success rate was impressive, showing he can really handle the workload. It’s no wonder there’s so much excitement about his potential, even with the emergence of Michael Penix Jr.
This could be a breakout year for Robinson, but will his workload stay consistent with Tyler Arguier possibly taking on more carries?
Saquon Barkley, Philadelphia Eagles
Barkley had a historic season that was crucial for both the Eagles and fantasy players alike, recording the ninth 2,000-yard rushing season in NFL history. He consistently churned out 20 fantasy points per game across all formats. Like Robinson, he combined a heavy workload with incredibly high efficiency, averaging nearly 6 yards per carry.
However, picking Barkley first may come with some risks. Many managers are hesitant to draft him at No. 1—particularly after the heavy usage he saw last season, with almost 500 combined touches. The Eagles might want to lighten his load to keep him fresh for the postseason. Historically, following up a great season has not bode well for past rushing champions due to injuries. While it’s tempting to pick Barkley, a cautious approach seems wise.
Jahmyr Gibbs, Detroit Lions
Gibbs provided evidence for why the Lions selected him in the first round. With impressive stats and a total of 20 touchdowns, he consistently ranked among the best in the league despite sharing playing time with David Montgomery. His performance was notable even after missing a few games.
He could certainly be a No. 1 pick for managers, especially in points-per-reception formats, but a new offensive coordinator might change how he’s utilized. Plus, competition from Montgomery could affect his value.
Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings
Jefferson had yet another fantastic season with the Vikings, putting up big numbers that would have made him the top fantasy wideout if not for Chase’s standout performance. He finished with over 1,500 yards and 10 touchdowns. His target share was significant, proving he’s a go-to option for anyone trusting in Minnesota’s passing game.
However, there are a few things to consider before drafting him first. With the second receiver, Jordan Addison, out for the beginning of the season, Jefferson might face increased attention on the field. Plus, he’s coming back from a hamstring injury that previously sidelined him. At the same time, there’s uncertainty around developing chemistry with the new quarterback.
In short, don’t overthink it too much. With the Bengals likely needing to air it out again this season, they present a solid choice. But if you’re leaning more towards a running back and want the best options quickly, Robinson could be your guy.
