Congratulations on the nation's first Primary Day! The former president trump He hopes to oust his only remaining Republican rival nikki haley I am out of the primary election today. But her campaign suggests it's not going away anytime soon.
Temperatures in Bedford, New England today are in the mid-30s, which is pretty mild for a New England winter. Weather can have a big impact on voter turnout, but today's weather isn't that big of a factor.Koyuki This is the forecast for tonight.
How to proceed today: Click here for The Hill's live blog Bits of information and updates throughout the first day.
When does voting close?: Most polls close Voting ends at 7 p.m., with voting ending at 8 p.m. in some towns.
What you're watching today: Will Haley be able to pull off an upset and defeat Trump?Almost every poll show That's unlikely, given Trump's wide lead, but it depends on how many independents vote in the Republican primary. Because of the drama within the Democratic Party, president biden Since there is no competition in the state, independent voters who want to make their votes count may choose the Republican race.
What is the turnout among independents?: I've been talking to New Hampshire voters at Haley events, and I'm amazed at the number of Democrats and independents I've met. This group of voters seems to dislike Trump so much that they want to focus their efforts on removing him from the platform. Since independent voters and undocumented voters can participate in the Republican primary, it will be interesting to see how strong that boost will be for Haley. New Hampshire has a history of upsets.
Washington Post: “Will Hayley be like Ike? New Hampshire's dominance began with an upset in 1952.
And even if Trump wins, the margins matter. If Trump wins by double digits, combined with Iowa's eye-catching 30-point victory, Haley's path to the nomination looks nearly impossible. However, if Haley is able to come in second place by a narrow margin, her challenge to President Trump could accelerate. The next major contest is in South Carolina, where she is a former governor.
Latest voting results: Trump has a 13.8% lead in New Hampshire, according to an average of polls from The Hill and Decision Desk Headquarters. 📊 Polls included in the average
What will happen to DeSantis supporters?: Governor of Florida Ron DeSantis(R)'s sudden departure upset the final two days of the campaign as it entered New Hampshire. He has supported Trump, which is likely to be a boost for the former president. Trump had an approval rating of about 5% in the state before dropping out, which could give Trump an advantage. However, the former New Jersey governor chris christie(R) supporters will back Haley.
oh yeah.There is a Democratic primary election.: president biden He is also not on the New Hampshire ballot because he supported national Democratic efforts to change the early races. Some of his supporters are leading write-in campaigns.Democratic presidential candidate dean phillips (Minnesota) is on the ballot and has a long-term campaign. I'm interested in seeing those results.
NBC News: “What counts as a victory for Biden in New Hampshire's unprecedented primary?”
Atlantic: 'Can Biden win a primary he ignores?”
Trivia — Ah, Dixville Notch: Haley received all 6 votes In the small town of Dixville Notch, New Hampshire, residents always vote at midnight. It didn't necessarily mean much, but Haley flaunted the victory. “Look at the first six votes for Dixville Notch. Do you think we could have gotten any of them if this had been a deal?” Haley said on “New Hampshire Today with Chris Ryan He said this in an interview.
