Top analysts say the biggest changes in the nation for the 2024 election will be in deep-blue states of New York and New Jersey.
Dave Wasserman, senior editor and election analyst at the nonpartisan Cook Political Report. 11.5% lean toward Trump. As impressive as the Empire State 10.1% movement Compared to the 45th president's 2020 results, Republicans have an advantage in the Garden State.
Florida (9.8%), Massachusetts (8.7%), California (8.4%), Texas (8.3%), Mississippi (7.7%), Rhode Island (7.0%), Tennessee (6.5%), and Illinois (6.4%) are rounded. It fell out of the top 10.
A Republican presidential candidate has not won New Jersey, a Democratic stronghold, since 1988.
In New York state, the last Republican to win was Ronald Reagan, who defeated Walter Mondale in a landslide in 1984.
“New Jersey has become a swing state!” the New Jersey Republican Party tweeted shortly after Trump's victory over Vice President Kamala Harris on Election Day.
Bob Hugin, chairman of the Garden State Republican Party, credits Trump's support from working-class voters for helping the party make inroads into the solidly blue state.
“Democrats have abandoned them. Now is our chance to govern,” Hugin said. he told the New Jersey Monitor.
Meanwhile, New York Republican Party Chairman Ed Cox praised Trump for redefining “what it means to be a Republican in the 21st century” and expanding the party's appeal “beyond demographics.”
“Under President-elect Donald Trump's leadership, the Republican Party will expand our coalition and bring once-in-a-lifetime changes to the electorate, targeting working-class Americans, voters of color, and those disillusioned with the status quo. It has attracted young people. Cox wrote in an essay for Newsday.
“New York may be a blue state, but it's a working class blue state, not a progressive 'woke' blue state,” he added. “Working families in this state want safe neighborhoods, affordable housing, good schools, and economic opportunity. They're not interested in ideological experiments coming from Albany or Washington. While promoting radical policies and government overreach, from gender ideology in sports to banning gas stoves, New Yorkers are concerned about the twin crises of inflation and illegal immigration.
Trump, 78, endorsed both New York and New Jersey on the campaign trail.
He held a large rally in Wildwood, New Jersey in May that drew an estimated 80,000 to 100,000 people. This is a record number for a political rally in the Garden State.
President Trump followed this up with rallies in the South Bronx, Crotona Park, and Madison Square Garden in midtown Manhattan.
