Republicans have gained leads in the two most important U.S. House races in the country and will play a major role in determining which party holds the majority in the 119th House of Representatives.
Internal polling of California Republican Scott Baugh; carried out He leads Democrat Dave Ming in California's 47th Congressional District, currently held by Rep. Katie Porter (D-Calif.), according to an Oct. 17-18 report by WPA Intelligence. It turned out that there was.
Mr. Baugh has an approval rating of 43% to Mr. Min's 40%, giving him an advantage among independent voters, Hispanic voters and white voters. According to the memo, Minh has fallen five points since September's WPA Intelligence poll, while Bo has risen one point.
Independents favor Beau over Minn, 41% to 37%, while 45% of Hispanics support Bo and 31% support Minn. According to poll memos, Mr. Baugh leads among white voters, 47% to 37%.
Additionally, there are significant rifts among male voters, and even greater rifts among female voters. Bo won 45 percent of the boys, seven points ahead of Ming, who won 38 percent. Women support Min by a narrow margin of 43% to 41%.
Ben Peterson, a spokesman for the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC), said in a statement that economics, crime and the border are driving Baugh's support in Orange County.
“Orange County voters are rallying behind Scott Baugh to cut taxes, rebuild our economy, stop the wave of violent crime, and secure our border,” Peterson said.
“Extreme politician Dave Ming, a Sacramento Democrat, is making Orange County more dangerous and more expensive, and it's clear voters are ready for change,” he added.
The poll samples 401 likely voters in California's 47th Congressional District and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.
Fresh votes from Alaska, first reported by politikoalso shows that Rep. Mary Peltola (D-Alaska) is trailing Republican Nick Begich in the state's only congressional district race. According to an internal survey conducted by Begich's campaign conducted by Signal Polling, 49.1% of potential voters in the state supported Begich in the first round of the ranked-choice voting system, while 44.5% supported Mr. Pertola. It was found that it supports.
Candidates need 50 percent of the vote to win the election, but Alaska Independence Party candidate John Wayne Howe received 4 percent in the poll and Democrat Eric Harfner received 2.4 percent. , Harfner was excluded from the second round of voting. Gathered minimal support.
A second poll of just Begich, Peltola and Howe showed Begic rising to 49.6 percent and Peltola to 45.5 percent, with Howe eliminated in the final vote. With Howe out, Begic reached 52.1%, while Peltola hit a wall at 47.9%.
“Nick Begich's momentum is undeniable. Alaskans are tired of Mary Peltola enabling the failed policies of Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, and the extreme Democrats.”Peter Sohn said in a separate statement.
The poll sampled 400 respondents between October 14th and 16th. The margin of error is ± 4.86 percentage points.
Alaska State House Election and California's 47th District Election teeth Two of the 18 House races on the Decision Desk and Hill that will determine who controls the next House of Representatives. As of Monday, the model gives Republicans a 56 percent chance of unseating Mr. Peltola and a 40 percent chance of winning Mr. Porter's seat.
