Post Sports Gambling Editor/Producer Eric Richter is in his first season of Bettor's Guide.
Miami Dolphins (+4.5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs
It's going to be chilly in Kansas City this weekend, but that's okay. The Dolphins aren't your typical Air Force team anyway.
In fact, it's all about the run game for Miami, and coach Mike McDaniel, who was Kyle Shanahan's run game coordinator in San Francisco, has a creative flair for that game.
His quarterbacks don't rely on long passes to be successful.
They are a short passing team and have plenty of YAC to put on the field.
Raheem Mostert's 15 of his 20 touchdowns are the most of any player in the NFL, so every red zone is a handoff.
Despite some injuries on defense, Miami won this game Saturday night.
Pittsburgh Steelers (+10) vs. Buffalo Bills
The total for this game was reduced by 6 points due to poor weather forecast.
So fewer points would theoretically mean a closer game and a smaller spread, right?
Well, that's not what happened here and that's a mistake.
Do you want to bet on the NFL?
Buffalo may be in the Super Bowl this season, but it's not the best front-runner team.
The Bills are 2-6 ATS this season as favorites, at least until a touchdown.
Allen struggles in zone coverage, where Pittsburgh plays 61.1 percent of the time (near the top of the league), so the Steelers are the bet here, even without TJ Watt. Buffalo won the game with a touchdown.
last week: 1-1. Titans (W), Patriots (L)
2023 season: 17-17-2.
