Former President Donald Trump has begun the new general election campaign with a majority of support across the country and a double-digit lead over the Democratic front-runner, Vice President Kamala Harris, according to opinion polls.
HarrisX/Forbes Poll found Among 2,169 likely voters nationwide, Trump leads Harris 52% to 42%. The survey, conducted July 19-21, 2024, showed that President Joe Biden stand He was stripped of his status as caretaker candidate on Sunday amid a behind-the-scenes pressure campaign by his own party.
🇺🇲 2024 General Election: Of 2,169 voters, Follow for @Forbes
Trump: 52%
Harris: 42%
⬜ Undecided: 6%With tilt
Trump: 54%
Harris: 46%
—
#161 (1.6/3.0) | July 19th-21st | 2,169 LVhttps://t.co/aftIVaQhd4 https://t.co/gK9W0GpOYK pic.twitter.com/eQG2zGoD5P— Interactive Polls (@IAPolls2022) July 22, 2024
The remaining 6% of voters were undecided between Trump and Harris. When pressed to support which candidate, 35% chose Trump and 65% chose Harris. When Trump-leaning candidates are included in the overall sample of voters, Trump leads with 54% to Harris’s 46%. The Harris-Trump figures are exactly the same as for the current estimated Biden-Trump race, including Trump-leaning candidates.
Among independents, part of a larger sample of 2,753 registered voters, Trump holds a 48% to 33% lead over the vice president. It’s a close call among Hispanics, 45%, but Trump leads among suburban voters, 51% to 40%, an 11-point lead. Twenty-five percent of registered black voters support Trump, while 65% support Harris.
Enthusiasm for Trump on the right is far greater than enthusiasm for Harris on the left: 92 percent of registered Republicans surveyed support Trump, while 83 percent of Democrats would vote for Harris.
The poll also showed Democrats were split on whether Harris or Biden should be the nominee, with 45 percent of respondents saying so. This comes after Halperin’s explosive reporting, and suggests that nearly half of the party’s voters hoped that what happened on Sunday would not come to pass. Independents narrowly supported Harris at 39 percent and Biden at 36 percent.
BREAKING: Multiple sources outline Biden’s situation as of now.
* He is expected to announce his withdrawal from the nomination this weekend, possibly on Sunday
* Jon Meacham polishes his speech
* Biden will not resign from his presidency
* Biden… https://t.co/l0LrfDTvOL
— Mark Halperin (@MarkHalperin) July 18, 2024
The margin of error (MOE) for all registered voters is plus or minus 1.9 percentage points. It is unclear what the MOE is for likely voters.
Successful pressure campaigns Former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) reportedly gave Biden an ultimatum to withdraw from the presidential race “the easy way or the hard way,” but this came after Biden won every race for the Democratic nomination and received 14 million votes before thousands of delegates choose the party’s nominee. The party convention in August did not reflect the views of voters.
