Former President Donald Trump holds an 18-point lead in Iowa in a four-way showdown against President Joe Biden and others. The Des Moines RegisterThe /Mediacom/Selzer & Co. poll was conducted after he was convicted in a New York business records trial.
In opinion polls, Published A poll conducted Monday showed that 50 percent of Iowa voters support Trump in his bid to retake the White House, compared with 32 percent for Biden, 9 percent for independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and 2 percent for Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver.
Another 3 percent support a different candidate, 3 percent are undecided and 1 percent say they would not vote if given these choices.
Trump has widened his lead over Biden by three percentage points since February, when his lead was 48 percent and 33 percent, respectively.
A difference of 18 points or more Doubles Trump won Iowa by 8.2 percentage points over Biden in 2020. That year, Trump received 53.1 percent of the total vote to Biden’s 44.9 percent.
The poll also found that fewer than three in 10 Iowa adults approve of President Biden’s job performance. Just 28% give Biden a favorable rating, down one point from February, while 67% disapprove. Five percent have no opinion.
Young people in Iowa, in particular, are very cold toward Biden.
“Only 15% of people under 35 approve of the job Biden is doing, while 76% disapprove.” The Des Moines Register Chief political correspondent Brianne Pfannenstiel noted: “That’s slightly worse than in February, when 21% approved and 76% disapproved.”
Most independents in the Hawkeye State also dislike the president: Just under one in four respondents (24%) gave him a positive rating, while 69% gave him an unfavorable rating.
The poll was conducted among 806 Iowa adults, including 632 likely voters, from June 9-14, 2024. The margin of error is ±3.5 percentage points for the adult sample and ±3.9 percentage points for the likely voter sample.
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Biden also has big problems with his approval ratings at the national level.
At one point on Wednesday, FiveThirtyEight reported that Biden had set the worst record in more than 70 years for average net approval rating, the difference between his approval and disapproval ratings, of any president on his 1,240th day in office: his approval rating was 37.6 percent and his disapproval rating was 57 percent, a negative 19.4 percentage points, though the average rose slightly in a Big Village poll later in the day.
FiveThirtyEight Average had As of Monday, his national approval rating was minus 18.1 percent, with an average approval rating of 38.1 percent and a disapproval rating of 56.3 percent.
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