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DRAM ETF Declines 5% as Memory Market Slows After Rapid Surge

DRAM ETF Declines 5% as Memory Market Slows After Rapid Surge

quick read

  • On Tuesday, the Round Hill Memory ETF (DRAM) saw a 5% decrease, which seems to be a result of profit-taking after its value had doubled in just six weeks.

  • The construction surrounding AI infrastructure has been supporting a tight supply of DRAM and NAND among the ETF’s three primary holdings—Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron Technology (MU)—which together make up 73% of the fund’s assets.

  • Interestingly, when analysts predicted NVIDIA’s rise in 2010, they didn’t include the Round Hill Memory ETF in their top recommendations.

Shares of the Roundhill Memory ETF (CBOE:DRAM) dropped about 5% early Tuesday, settling around $52.30 after a Monday close of $55.08. This downward trend comes after an impressive six-week run where newly issued ETFs nearly doubled since launching on April 2nd.

The ETF has surged 30% in the past week alone and is up by 70% over the past month. Although today’s decline was notable, it still constitutes a reasonable correction in light of previous gains. Since its launch, the fund has increased by an impressive 98% leading into Tuesday’s trading, making it one of the standout thematic funds of the year.

This pullback seems like a classic case of profit-taking after a sharp rise. The overall sentiment around AI memory remains strong, and the DRAM ETF is simply reflecting the fluctuations in active trading.

Again, when analysts were bullish on NVIDIA back in 2010, they mentioned their top stocks but didn’t include the Round Hill Memory ETF.

Taking profits after drawing a parabola

The Round Hill Memory ETF is unique in being the first thematic fund solely focused on memory chip manufacturers, boasting a 98% exposure to information technology. It comprises 25% Samsung Electronics, 24% SK Hynix, and 24% Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), with these three accounting for 73% of the fund’s overall assets. When these companies face challenges, the ETF feels the effects.

Despite the tight supply of DRAM and NAND, the Round Hill Fund is navigating well, thanks to the ongoing expansion of AI infrastructure. In context, a 5% one-day drop following a significant increase isn’t extreme; following the market’s typical patterns, newly launched thematic ETFs often experience volatility.

Conversations on platforms like Reddit can provide a real-time mood gauge. For instance, sentiment around Micron fell from a bullish score of 90 on May 5th to a bearish score of 30 by Tuesday morning, while discussions about SanDisk shifted from fear-of-missing-out to locking in profits, reflecting a bearish score of just 22.

Micron, SanDisk, and Western Digital take a breather

Micron, the ETF’s largest holding in the U.S., experienced a 3% decline early Tuesday, following a close on Monday at $795.33. Even with this selloff, Micron’s year-to-date performance is still impressive, up 170% and 733% over the last year, largely driven by increasing demand for high-bandwidth memory due to AI.

SanDisk (NASDAQ:SNDK) shares fell 4% on Tuesday after a notable 552% gain this year. Their earnings report from April 30 significantly exceeded expectations, with data center revenue rising 76% year-over-year to reach $440 million.

Western Digital (NASDAQ:WDC) also saw a 4% drop after closing at $515.83 on Monday. During their last earnings call, CEO Irving Tan stated that all AI workloads necessitate data that is efficiently stored, emphasizing the growing demand. Additionally, the company raised its quarterly dividend by 20% to $0.15 per share.

Things to see up close

The fundamental narrative around memory supply doesn’t adjust quickly. Factors like tight high-bandwidth memory supplies, increased capital expenditures from hyperscalers, and disciplined NAND capacity additions remain consistent. However, thematic ETFs like DRAM tend to exaggerate both the ups and downs of their underlying assets, which is evident from Tuesday’s trading activity.

Watch to see if buying interest returns, particularly in light of Micron’s strong future projections, SanDisk’s anticipated earnings of $12-$14 next quarter, and Western Digital’s guidance for $3.25 EPS in Q4 of fiscal 2026. The memory sector is historically volatile, so cautious investors could consider a managing position that accommodates a 5% fluctuation on non-eventful days.

There might not be another significant catalyst until Micron reports its upcoming quarterly results. Until then, the daily performance of the DRAM ETF is more likely to reflect sentiment around Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron than any U.S. news events, making the ETF’s volatility a key indicator of how the AI memory supercycle is being evaluated.

Analysts who called NVIDIA in 2010 named it a top 10 AI stock.

An analyst’s stock selections for 2025 are up an average of 106%, and he has just identified one of the top 10 stocks to buy in 2026.

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