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*** Election Night Livewire *** Trump-Backed Bernie Moreno Seeks to Crush Establishment GOP in Ohio

Former President Donald Trump has already secured the Republican nomination for this year’s presidential election, but Bernie Moreno, a businessman and political outsider, is a far more popular candidate for the U.S. Senate seat in Ohio. He faces an important test of his strength within the Republican Party. Senator Matt Dolan and Secretary of State Frank LaRose are establishment Republican candidates.

Moreno has campaigned against the deportation of undocumented immigrants who entered the country during the administration of Democrat Joe Biden, and against sending more U.S. tax dollars overseas that Ukrainians waste on the war against Russia. Mr. Dolan, on the other hand, is a member of the globalist establishment Republican who supports increased aid to Ukraine, and Mr. LaRose received cash from Meta’s Mark Zuckerberg to campaign in Ohio, and is the founder of LinkedIn. He has been accused of receiving funds from left-wing sources, including from Reid Hoffman.

Mr. Moreno fought off vicious media attacks by the Associated Press in the final stages of the campaign, but Mr. Trump confronted him at a large rally in Dayton, Ohio, on Saturday. Whoever wins this race could decide a lot about the future of the Republican Party and how it goes from here.

Other states have had some notable primaries as well, with two different incumbents, one Republican and one Democratic, facing stiff challenges in Illinois. Rep. Mike Bost (R-Ill.) tries to fend off conservative challenger Darren Bailey, while 82-year-old longtime Democratic Rep. Danny Davis (D-Ill.) faces two He is facing a serious challenger.

In California, voters will also vote in a special election to choose a successor to former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy in the Bakersfield-area House seat. Other states, including Florida, will hold presidential primaries on Tuesday, but Trump and Biden will lock down the majority of delegates ahead of this summer’s conventions as Republican and Democratic primaries are decided. As such, these are essentially perfunctory primaries. However, there are interesting data points that can be gleaned from turnout, vote totals, and demographics that could provide clues as to what will happen in the November general election.

Voting in Ohio ends at 7:30 p.m. ET, and later in other states. For live nightly results, breaking news and analysis, visit Breitbart News here.

Updated at 8:25 PM ET:

Mr. Moreno received 21% of reports, extending his lead to more than 1%. Moreno is at 39.2%, while Dolan is at 38.1%. Things could move toward requiring Ohio standards fairly quickly.

Updated at 8:22pm ET:

The gambling market is It shook a lot In Moreno’s direction, he was heavily favored to win.

Updated at 8:16pm ET:

Although the reporting rate is still only 19%, Moreno is back in first place by a few percentage points.

Updated at 8:15pm ET:

With the current vote count at 19 percent, the difference between Dolan and Moreno is less than 100 votes, as Moreno has effectively erased Dolan’s lead once again. This is primarily early voting from within the state, so if Moreno gets his Election Day numbers as expected, this will mean a lot to him.

Updated at 8:11pm ET:

The current reporting rate is 17%, with Dolan once again in first place at 38.97% to Moreno’s 38.35%. Once again, Dolan is running out of avenues as election day turnout begins to crush him. If the current trend line holds, it will be a big night for Moreno and Trump.

Updated at 8:01 PM ET:

Now, with a reporting rate of 13%, Moreno is back in the lead and extending his lead. Moreno is at 38.52%, while Dolan is at 37.95%.

Updated at 7:59 PM ET:

Dolan is back in first place with an 11 percent report, but Moreno is far above most expectations and Dolan is far below most expectations in terms of early returns. It’s still too early to tell, but things are looking good for Moreno so far.

Updated at 7:54 PM ET:

Moreno currently leads Dolan with a reporting rate of 10 percent. This seems terrible for the facility. Moreno has 38.18% and Dolan 38.04%. For those yet to be counted, Moreno’s influence is likely to be huge.

Updated at 7:51pm ET:

The Republican establishment did everything in its power to thwart Moreno. Assuming he ultimately pulls this off, it will be a complete failure of the big donor class that provides special interest, and a victory for the little guys. A source in Ohio sent this spending analysis to Breitbart News and found the following:

Summary of major expenditures:

We found that a total of $43.7 million was spent by 12 different advertisers.

Pro Moreno advertisers spent a total of $13.4 million.

Pro-Dolan advertisers, including the Buckeye Leadership Fund, spent $17.3 million.

Advertisers supporting LaRose spent $5.2 million.

Finally, the pro-Brown IE spent $2 million to boost Moreno with attack ads in the final week.

The bulk of the spending came from television broadcasts, totaling $33.8 million, or approximately 77% of total spending. Cable TV he recorded $7.5 million, about 17%. Rounding out the top three was Addressable Statewide Satellite TV, down about 1% to $352,000.

The top spending markets were Cleveland at $13.9 million, Columbus at $11.1 million, Cincinnati at $8.2 million, Dayton at $5.4 million, Toledo at $2.5 million, followed by Youngstown at $1.2 million. 5 markets.

Updated at 7:45pm ET:

With a current reporting rate of 2%, Mr. Moreno has already narrowed the gap to Mr. Dolan to just 41% to 37%. This can be explosive.

Updated at 7:38pm ET:

Things are looking great for Moreno so far.

Dolan predictably has an early lead, with just 1 percent coverage, according to the New York Times, but that situation looks like it’s going to collapse soon.

Updated at 7:35pm ET:

Moreno has a 10-point lead over Dolan in exit polls.

We’re still waiting on the results, but this would be great for Moreno.

Updated at 7:30pm ET:

Voting has ended in Ohio. Results are expected soon.

Updated at 7:15pm ET:

Although essentially irrelevant since Trump is already the presumptive Republican presidential nominee, the results currently coming out of Florida appear to be very strong for Trump. He’s over 70 percent and looks like he could do as well as about 90 percent. Nikki Haley dropped out two weeks ago and was the last Republican candidate to run against Trump more than a month ago, but she and several others who dropped out earlier remain in the Sunshine State. With his name on the ballot, Trump’s superior performance is clear. impressive.

Updated at 7:12pm ET:

The Cincinnati area could decide the outcome of the Ohio election and could be an early indicator of whether the election is close or a Moreno blowout.

Updated at 7:10pm ET:

What’s emerging in Ohio is that there are definitely Democrats who traveled to the United States to vote in the Republican primary.

We still don’t know who they voted for, why they voted, or anything else.

A broader exit poll is expected to take place when voting ends at 7:30 p.m. ET.

Updated at 7:07pm ET:

Approximately 230,000 early votes were cast in Ohio, both in person and by mail. Mr. Dolan will do well with those numbers, but Mr. Moreno is expected to clean up his election day totals. So the night might start out as some sort of pro-establishment mirage, with Dolan seeming strong at first but disappearing during the night. Margins matter in races like this, and the question is whether Moreno can improve his score in key areas.

Updated at 7:04 PM ET:

Voting has ended in most of Florida and is expected to close in Ohio within 30 minutes.

While waiting for results in Ohio, exit polls appear to have a very pro-Trump electorate.

That would bode better for Moreno than it did for Dolan. Let’s see when returns start coming in.

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